机构：国信证券 研究员：曾光/张鲁 FY2026Q2 收入预计提速，全年维持稳健展望，并更新股东回报计划。展望FY2026Q2，公司预计净营 收同增9%-12%。同时维持FY2026 全年净营收同比增长5%-10%的指引。股东回报方面，宣布一项为期 三年的股东回报计划，拟将前一财年归母净利润不低于50%用于回馈股东。为实施2026 财年的回报计 划，董事会已批准派发总额约1.9 亿美元的现金股息。以及一项未来12 个月内最多3 亿美元的股份回购 计划，金额合计达2025 财年归母净利的132%。 以最新市值计算，公司此轮股东回报计划对应股东回报率约为5.1%。 风险提示：行业竞争加剧、政策趋严、业务渗透率提升缓慢、股东减持等。 投资建议：综合公司清晰的品质提升战略、较积极的业绩展望、具有吸引力的股东回报，我们维持 其"优于大市"评级。我们认为公司"提升能力与品质"的核心战略与行业由"疫后供给缺失"转向"质量优 先"的趋势相符，成效体现在经调经营利润率稳步修复与K12 业务学生留存率提升上，为未来收入增长 蓄力。我们维持公司2026-2028 财年经调整净利润4.3/4.8/5.3 亿美元的预测，对应PE 分别 ...

Core Viewpoint - Guosen Securities maintains an "outperform" rating for New Oriental-S (09901) due to its clear quality enhancement strategy, positive performance outlook, and attractive shareholder returns [1] Financial Performance - In Q1 FY2026, the company achieved revenue of $1.523 billion, a year-on-year increase of 6.1%, exceeding the previous forecast of 5% [2] - Non-GAAP operating profit reached $336 million, up 11.3%, with a Non-GAAP operating margin improvement of 1 percentage point to 22% [2] - Non-GAAP net profit attributable to shareholders was $258 million, down 1.6%, primarily due to the impact of dividend withholding tax [2] Business Segment Performance - K9 education new business revenue grew by 15%, with non-subject training participants reaching 530,000, an increase of 10% [2] - The number of active paid users for learning machines increased by 40% to 452,000, indicating strong brand appeal [2] - High school training revenue increased by 7%, affected by scheduling and regional discounts [3] - Study abroad and consultation revenue grew by 1% and 2% respectively, benefiting from improved external conditions [3] - University business revenue rose by 14%, outperforming the previous expectation of 10% growth [3] Future Outlook - For Q2 FY2026, the company expects revenue growth of 9%-12% and maintains a full-year revenue growth guidance of 5%-10% [4] - A three-year shareholder return plan has been announced, with plans to distribute at least 50% of the previous fiscal year's net profit to shareholders [4] - The board has approved a cash dividend of approximately $190 million and a share buyback plan of up to $300 million within the next 12 months, totaling 132% of the previous fiscal year's net profit [4]