Workflow
政府补贴退坡
icon
Search documents
大陆消费月报:零售增速不及预期,CPI继续改善-20251215
Consumption Overview - In November, the total retail sales of consumer goods reached approximately 4.4 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 1.3%, down from 2.9% in the previous month[8] - Retail sales of goods amounted to about 3.8 trillion yuan, growing by 1.0% year-on-year, while catering sales reached 605.7 billion yuan, up 3.2% year-on-year[8] - Online retail sales were 1.7 trillion yuan, showing a slight decline of 0.1% year-on-year, although the proportion of online sales increased by 5.4 percentage points month-on-month[8] Industry Performance - The retail sales of limited enterprises in November were 1.6 trillion yuan, down 2.2% year-on-year, compared to a growth of 1.4% in the previous month[14] - Notable declines in government-subsidized categories included home appliances down 19.4% year-on-year, while communication equipment rose by 21%[15] - The film industry saw a significant boost, with November box office revenue reaching 35.5 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 89%[19] CPI and Economic Indicators - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) in November increased by 0.7% year-on-year, a rise of 0.5 percentage points from the previous month[30] - Core CPI, excluding food and energy, remained stable at a year-on-year growth of 1.2%[30] - Food prices contributed to CPI improvement, with food CPI rising by 0.2% year-on-year, reversing a decline of 2.9% in the previous month[30] Market Trends and Outlook - The overall performance of the consumption sector has lagged behind the market, influenced by changing market preferences[50] - Despite the slowdown in retail sales growth, a positive outlook remains for December, with an expected annual growth rate of around 4% for retail sales[51] - The central economic work conference emphasizes domestic consumption, indicating potential support for consumer spending in the upcoming year[51]