政治冒进
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毛宁表示,中方不见高市,钝刀子割肉开始,日本股票应声暴跌
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-18 23:15
Group 1 - A sudden diplomatic storm in November marked a critical turning point in China-Japan relations, triggered by Japanese Prime Minister Kishi Nobuo's hardline remarks regarding Taiwan, which provoked strong discontent from China [1][3][5] - Kishi's comments about potential Japanese Self-Defense Force intervention in the event of a Taiwan conflict were seen as a direct provocation, crossing China's core interest boundaries [3][5][7] - China's response was clear, with Foreign Ministry spokesperson Mao Ning stating there were no arrangements for a meeting with the Japanese Prime Minister during the G20 summit, indicating a firm stance on sovereignty issues [5][7][15] Group 2 - The Japanese market reacted swiftly, with significant declines in tourism, retail, and airline sectors, reflecting the market's anticipation of the diplomatic fallout [3][11][19] - On November 18, the Nikkei 225 index dropped over 1000 points, signaling a shift in market sentiment as investors recognized the long-term implications of reduced Chinese tourism and spending [11][19][24] - China's approach to exerting pressure was subtle yet effective, issuing safety warnings for travel and study in Japan, which could have lasting impacts on Japan's economy heavily reliant on Chinese consumers [9][11][19] Group 3 - Kishi aimed to project an image of a "security decision-maker" but risked damaging Japan's international credibility if her statements were not retracted [9][15][17] - The Japanese government faces a dilemma, balancing the need to support Kishi's statements while managing the economic and diplomatic repercussions of a frozen relationship with China [7][15][19] - The situation highlights a lack of unified strategic direction within the Japanese political landscape regarding China, leading to potential diplomatic miscalculations [15][17][21] Group 4 - The incident serves as a warning to other nations about the potential consequences of verbal provocations that touch on core national interests, as China's response indicates a firm unwillingness to compromise [21][23] - Japan now faces a critical decision: to continue supporting Kishi's stance or to reassess its policy logic in light of the market's reaction and diplomatic fallout [23][24]