Group 1 - The core issue revolves around the potential risk of President Trump firing Federal Reserve Chairman Powell, which is currently underestimated by the market [2][3] - Deutsche Bank's analysis indicates that if Powell were to be dismissed, the trade-weighted dollar could drop by 3% to 4%, and U.S. Treasury yields could rise by 30 to 40 basis points [3] - Historical context shows that political interference in central bank decisions often leads to significant market volatility, with investors closely monitoring developments [14] Group 2 - The A-share market exhibits a "running ahead" characteristic, where investors act on anticipated news, often leading to peak prices at the time of actual announcements [4] - Institutions tend to capitalize on retail investor panic during market downturns, executing strategic buybacks to acquire shares at lower prices [8][13] - Data analysis tools can reveal the true movements of institutional funds, indicating that significant trading activity often correlates with institutional behavior [9][11] Group 3 - In times of market turmoil, traditional safe-haven currencies like the euro, yen, and Swiss franc are expected to benefit if Powell's departure occurs [14] - Ordinary investors are advised to remain calm and focus on the underlying data rather than being swayed by sensational news headlines [15][17] - Establishing a personal investment logic framework and utilizing quantitative tools for market analysis can enhance decision-making [17]