问题一：高市为何要解散众议院？ 高市此举是巩固权力规避风险的政治赌博 中国社科院日本研究所助理研究员 孟明铭：高市早苗解散国会重新进行选举的行为，是其权衡了机遇和风险后所采取的一次政治豪赌。目的主要有以下几 点： 当前高市早苗领导的自民党及其执政伙伴日本维新会在众议院席位是刚刚过半，在参议院更是少数派。在这种情况下，高市早苗所提出的一系列较为激进的 政策主张，预计将在国会审议时遭遇重重阻力。高市希望通过选举赢得稳定多数的席位，摆脱在野党的掣肘。 日本首相高市早苗19日在记者会上表示，将于1月23日解散众议院、27日发布众议院选举公告，2月8日进行投计票。 高市早苗为何要在此时解散众议院？ 日本舆论如何看待？高市此举又将对日本政坛产生哪些影响？ 最新民调：半数受访者表示反对 据日本朝日新闻社公布的本月17日和18日两天进行的日本全国民调结果显示，对于高市在此时解散众议院、提前举行大选的做法，50%的受访民众表示反 对，36%表示赞成。 高市决定解散众议院引发在野党批评 此外，多位在野党人士近日纷纷指责高市"不惜制造政治空白大搞选举，将党派利益放在国民利益之上。" 日本国民民主党党首 玉木雄一郎：一旦决定要解散， ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that Prime Minister Sanna Takashi's decision to dissolve the House of Representatives is a political gamble aimed at consolidating power and avoiding risks [2][4][6] - Takashi's ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) and its coalition partner, the Japan Innovation Party, hold just over half of the seats in the House of Representatives and are in the minority in the House of Councillors, making it difficult to pass more radical policy proposals [6] - The early election is seen as a strategy to secure a stable majority and mitigate upcoming political and economic risks, including potential depreciation of the yen and rising prices due to a large supplementary budget [6] Group 2 - Public opinion is largely against the dissolution, with a recent poll indicating that 50% of respondents oppose the decision, while only 36% support it [8] - Opposition parties have criticized Takashi for prioritizing party interests over national interests, labeling the dissolution as a self-serving move [9][11][12][14] - The election is expected to increase political infighting and exacerbate institutional crises, delaying important legislative processes and potentially polarizing Japanese politics further [16]