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帮主郑重:惊魂夜后三盏信号灯!散户必看8月4日生存指南!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-04 01:06
Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the recent panic in A-shares is seen as an opportunity for smart money to hunt for bargains amidst the turmoil in the US stock market, particularly following disappointing US non-farm payroll data [1][3]. - The US stock market's decline was triggered by a significant drop in July's job additions, which were only 73,000, less than half of expectations, leading to a 75% market expectation for a rate cut in September [3]. - The Chinese central bank has indicated a continuation of monetary easing, providing a buffer for A-shares despite external pressures [3]. Group 2 - Technical analysis shows that the Shanghai Composite Index tested the 20-day moving average at 3,550 points, with a critical gap at 3,542 points that needs to be maintained for a potential rebound towards 3,674 points [4]. - Volume is highlighted as a crucial indicator, with a baseline of 1.5 trillion yuan and a target of 1.8 trillion yuan for a bullish signal [5]. - There is a notable shift in capital flows, with significant activity in the CSI 300 ETF, suggesting either institutional reallocation or state intervention, while retail investors are advised against panic selling [6]. Group 3 - The technology sector is experiencing a divergence, with institutional investors aggressively buying computing hardware, while speculative funds are offloading positions in robotics and other sectors [7]. - Retail investors are advised to adhere to three key rules: avoid impulsive trading in the first half hour, exit positions if stocks fall below the 20-day moving average for three consecutive days, and focus on long-term trends rather than short-term fluctuations [8]. - Key data points include the support level at 3,542 points for the Shanghai Composite Index, with specific strategies for investing in hard technology and defensive sectors like pharmaceuticals and electricity [9].