斐波那契回撤水平
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英镑承压于疲弱 就业数据预期降息
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-10-21 04:29
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights the decline of GBP/USD to around 1.3390, driven by disappointing UK employment data, which has raised speculation about the Bank of England potentially continuing to lower interest rates [1] - The UK unemployment rate rose to 4.8% for the three months ending in August, the highest level in four years, up from 4.7% in July [1] - Average wage growth for the same period decreased to 4.7%, indicating potential economic weakness [1] Group 2 - From a technical analysis perspective, GBP/USD has broken above the 100-period simple moving average and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level, suggesting potential for further upward movement [2] - Subsequent upward movement could target the 50% Fibonacci retracement level around 1.3480-1.3485, with a psychological barrier at 1.3500 [2] - A breakthrough above 1.3500 could trigger further bullish momentum, aiming for the next resistance level near 1.3545-1.3550, or the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level [2]
日本首相重申“零关税” 美元/日元升至一个月高点
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-05-12 03:14
Group 1 - The USD/JPY exchange rate reached a one-month high of 145.9020, up 0.40%, driven by a trade agreement between the US and China, alleviating recession concerns in the US [1] - The USD/JPY has broken through the 140-145 range, with potential to test higher resistance levels around 146-147 if the trend continues [1] - Japan's trade balance for March was reported at 516.5 billion yen, below the expected 547.7 billion yen and significantly lower than the previous value of 712.9 billion yen [2] Group 2 - Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba emphasized a goal of 0% tariffs in negotiations with the US, indicating positive discussions with President Trump [2] - Technical analysis suggests that the USD/JPY has found support above the 50% Fibonacci retracement level from March-April declines, with potential upward movement towards the 146.80-146.85 area, representing the 61.8% Fibonacci level [2] - The 145.55 area is currently acting as a protective level for the USD/JPY, with a break below this level potentially accelerating a decline towards the psychological level of 145.00 [3]