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复宏汉霖(02696.HK):HLX43延续优异表现 HLX07MPFS数据惊艳
Ge Long Hui· 2025-09-18 08:30
Core Viewpoint - The updates presented at WCLC regarding HLX43 and HLX07 indicate promising efficacy and safety profiles for these novel therapies in treating NSCLC, suggesting potential for significant market impact and investment opportunities [1][2][4]. Group 1: HLX43 Data Summary - HLX43 demonstrated high efficacy with an overall response rate (ORR) of 37.0% and a disease control rate (DCR) of 87.0% among evaluable patients [2] - In a subgroup analysis of EGFR wild-type non-squamous NSCLC patients, the confirmed ORR reached 46.7%, indicating HLX43's effectiveness is not reliant on PD-L1 expression levels [2][3] - The safety profile of HLX43 is favorable, with the most common grade ≥3 treatment-related adverse events (TRAEs) being anemia and leukopenia, both at 19.6%, and a low incidence of grade ≥3 thrombocytopenia at 3.6% [3] Group 2: HLX07 Data Summary - HLX07 combined with PD-1 inhibitor showed a median progression-free survival (mPFS) of 17.4 months in the high-dose group, significantly exceeding the standard therapy's mPFS of around 7 months [4] - The study involved patients with high EGFR expression (H score ≥150) and no prior systemic treatment, indicating a targeted approach to therapy [4] - Safety data indicated manageable treatment-emergent adverse events (TEAEs), suggesting a good tolerability profile for HLX07 in combination therapy [4] Group 3: Financial Projections - The company forecasts total revenues of 58.73 billion, 59.70 billion, and 71.25 billion for 2025-2027, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 2.60%, 1.64%, and 19.36% respectively [4] - Net profits attributable to shareholders are projected at 8.27 billion, 7.97 billion, and 11.22 billion for the same period, maintaining previous estimates [4] - The target price for the company's stock has been raised from 78.01 HKD to 120.87 HKD per share, reflecting an adjustment based on the expanded product advantages of HLX43 [4]