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安踏体育(2020.HK):Q2主品牌调整中 FILA和其他品牌表现优异
Ge Long Hui· 2025-07-18 10:33
Core Viewpoint - Anta's main brand revenue growth in Q2 2025 is low single digits, with a slowdown in growth rate compared to previous quarters, primarily due to optimization of franchise stores in lower-tier cities and online discount control [1][2] Group 1: Anta Brand Performance - In Q2 2025, Anta's main brand revenue growth is low single digits, while H1 shows mid single-digit growth, a decrease from high single digits in Q1 [2] - The company is focusing on optimizing franchise channels in lower-tier cities and has appointed a new e-commerce head to enhance online sales management [2][3] - The inventory-to-sales ratio remains around 5 months, with offline discounts stable year-on-year and online discounts slightly deepening [2][3] Group 2: FILA Brand Performance - FILA's revenue in Q2 2025 shows mid single-digit growth year-on-year, with H1 growth at high single digits [3] - FILA's large goods are expected to grow at high single digits, while Fusion and children's wear are projected to grow at mid single digits [3] - Online sales for FILA are performing better than offline, with an overall inventory-to-sales ratio of about 5 months [3] Group 3: Other Brands Performance - Other brands collectively achieved revenue growth of 50%-55% in Q2 2025, with Kolon exceeding 70% and Descente projected to grow over 40% [3] - Maia Active shows over 30% revenue growth, with double-digit growth in store efficiency and rapid membership growth driven by endorsements [3] Group 4: Outlook for H2 2025 - The company maintains expectations for high single-digit growth for Anta, mid single-digit growth for FILA, and over 30% growth for other brands in 2025 [4] - Continuous optimization of offline franchise stores and expansion of new retail formats for Anta are planned [4] - Anticipated decline in interest income and increased market investment for Anta and FILA may lead to a slight decrease in operating profit margins [4] Group 5: Profit Forecast - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 784.4 billion, 848.8 billion, and 911.0 billion, with year-on-year growth rates of +10.7%, +8.2%, and +7.3% respectively [5] - Expected net profit for the parent company is 134.1 billion, 149.7 billion, and 165.4 billion, with a year-on-year decrease of -14.0% (excluding one-time losses from Amer) [5] - Corresponding P/E ratios are 17.7x, 15.9x, and 14.3x, with a maintained "buy" rating [5]