Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that Anta Sports (02020) is expected to see revenue growth from FY25E to FY27E, with projected revenues of 785.3 billion, 860.3 billion, and 942.0 billion yuan, representing year-on-year growth of +10.9%, +9.6%, and +9.5% respectively [1] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to be 132.4 billion, 144.1 billion, and 162.0 billion yuan for FY25E to FY27E, showing a year-on-year decline of -15.1% (excluding equity investment income, it is +11.1%), +8.8%, and +12.4% respectively [1] - The report maintains a "buy" rating with a target price of 98.0 HKD, corresponding to a PE ratio of approximately 18.8 times for FY25E and a static PE of about 16.0 times, indicating an expected price increase of 25.8% from the current price [1] Group 2 - The company plans to acquire a 29% stake in PUMA for approximately 1.5 billion euros, equivalent to 122.8 billion yuan, which would make it the largest shareholder of PUMA if the transaction is completed [2] - This acquisition is expected to leverage PUMA's strong global brand value and enhance the company's brand operation capabilities, further advancing its globalization strategy [2] Group 3 - In Q4 FY25, the overall retail sales of the group met expectations, with FILA showing mid-single-digit growth and a quarter-on-quarter acceleration, while other brands achieved a growth rate of 35% to 40%, with Descente growing by 25% to 30% and becoming the third brand in the group to exceed 10 billion yuan in retail scale [3] - Other brands also performed well, with overall growth exceeding expectations, achieving 45% to 50% growth [3] Group 4 - For FY25, the operating profit margin (OPM) of various brands met initial guidance, with Anta achieving an OPM of 20% to 25% and FILA maintaining an OPM of around 25% despite brand and product promotions [4] - Descente and KELON contributed positively to profit margins, while the new brand Wolf Claw maintained an OPM range of 25% to 30% [4] Group 5 - In FY26, assuming a stable macro environment, Anta aims for positive revenue growth, while FILA seeks to sustain its growth momentum from FY25 [5] - Other brands may experience a slowdown in growth due to a higher revenue base, and the operating profit margins are expected to remain relatively stable, excluding the Wolf Claw brand [5]

Core Viewpoint - Company Anta Sports (02020) is expected to see revenue growth from FY25E to FY27E, with projected revenues of 785.3 billion, 860.3 billion, and 942.0 billion yuan, representing year-on-year growth of +10.9%, +9.6%, and +9.5% respectively. Net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be 132.4 billion, 144.1 billion, and 162.0 billion yuan, with a year-on-year decrease of -15.1% (an increase of +11.1% after excluding equity investment income), +8.8%, and +12.4% respectively. The buy rating is maintained with a target price of 98.0 HKD, implying a potential upside of 25.8% from the current price [1] Group 1 - The company plans to acquire a 29% stake in PUMA for approximately 1.5 billion euros, equivalent to 122.8 billion yuan, which would make it the largest shareholder of PUMA if completed. This acquisition is expected to enhance the company's global strategy and leverage PUMA's strong brand value [1] Group 2 - For Q4 FY25, the overall retail sales of the group met expectations, with FILA achieving mid-single-digit growth and significant increases in various segments. Other brands saw a growth of 35-40%, with Descente growing by 25-30%, becoming the third brand in the group to exceed 10 billion yuan in retail scale [2] Group 3 - In FY25, the operating profit margin (OPM) for various brands met initial guidance, with Anta achieving an OPM of 20-25% and FILA maintaining around 25% OPM despite promotional activities. Other brands like Descente and KELON contributed positively to profit margins, with the new brand Wolf Claw maintaining an OPM range of 25-30% [3] Group 4 - In FY26, assuming a stable macro environment, Anta aims for positive revenue growth, while FILA seeks to sustain its growth momentum. Other brands may experience slower growth due to high revenue bases. The operating profit margins are expected to remain stable, with continued investments in sports resources and consumer experience to support growth [4]

Core Viewpoint - Anta Sports has announced a significant strategic move by entering into a share purchase agreement with Artémis to acquire 43.0148 million shares of Puma SE, representing approximately 29.06% of its total issued share capital, for a cash consideration of €35 per share, totaling €1.506 billion (approximately RMB 12.278 billion) [1][2]. Group 1: Acquisition Details - The acquisition is expected to be completed by the end of 2026, pending regulatory approvals and customary closing conditions [2]. - The funding for this acquisition will be sourced entirely from Anta Group's internal cash reserves [2]. Group 2: Market Impact - Following the announcement, Anta's stock opened with a rise of over 3%, bringing its total market capitalization to HKD 219.5 billion [2]. Group 3: Puma's Current Situation - Puma has been facing significant challenges, with a cumulative loss of €309 million reported for the first three quarters of 2025, and a net loss for three consecutive quarters [4][5]. - The company's sales in the Greater China region for 2024 are projected to be only €604 million, with a market share of less than 7%, indicating a substantial gap compared to competitors like Nike and Adidas [4]. Group 4: Historical Context of Anta - Anta has a history of rapid business development and acquisitions, including the purchase of FILA's Greater China business in 2009 for RMB 332 million, which has since become a core growth driver for the group [5][6]. - The company has successfully entered high-end sports and outdoor segments through joint ventures and acquisitions, including the full acquisition of Amer Sports for €4.6 billion in 2019 [6]. Group 5: Financial Performance - Anta's revenue and net profit have seen significant growth, with revenues reaching RMB 70.826 billion and net profits of RMB 15.596 billion by 2024, marking approximately 21 times and 28 times growth since 2007, respectively [7]. - As of the end of 2024, Anta's total assets surpassed RMB 112.6 billion for the first time [8].

实际上，安踏创始人丁世忠一直有着做"世界的安踏"的野心。为此，安踏找到了一条通过并购国内外知 名品牌，再进行运营"翻新"的扩张路径。过去数年间，公司已经操刀了FILA、迪桑特、KOLON、始祖 鸟、狼爪等多个并购案例，让这些"过气"品牌再度翻红，并将始祖鸟母公司亚玛芬体育送上美股。此次 收购彪马，安踏能否在其身上复刻FILA、始祖鸟的成功之路呢？ 炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报，权威，专业，及时，全面，助您挖掘潜力主题机会！ 来源：环球老虎财经app 1月27日，安踏公告拟斥资123亿元，将昔日的运动品牌三巨头之一彪马，收入麾下。要知道，有着"并 购王"之称的安踏，此前已经收购了FILA、始祖鸟等众多"过气"品牌，并通过运营让这些品牌再度"翻 红"，而接连并购国际知名运动品牌的背后也藏着丁世忠的"全球化"野心。 "并购王"安踏继续买买买。 1月27日，安踏体育公告称，公司计划以每股35欧元，合计约15.06亿欧元（约合人民币123亿元）收购 彪马（PUMA）所属公司PUMA SE 29.06%的股权，成为其最大股东。 据悉，彪马是全球知名运动品牌，已成立超78年，曾几乎比肩耐克、阿迪达斯，但近年来，彪马遭遇增 长瓶 ...

Group 1 - Anta Group announced the acquisition of a 29.06% stake in Puma for €1.506 billion, making it the largest shareholder of Puma [2] - The acquisition price translates to approximately ¥12.278 billion, funded entirely by Anta's own cash reserves without any debt [2] - Puma has been facing financial difficulties, with projected net profits declining from €360 million in 2023 to €342 million in 2024, and a significant loss of €247 million in the first half of 2025 [2] Group 2 - Anta's revenue reached a historical high of ¥38.54 billion in the first half of 2025, marking a 14.3% year-on-year increase, with its brands, including Anta and FILA, showing steady growth [3] - Despite the growth, Anta's gross margin decreased by 0.7 percentage points to 63.4% in the same period, with specific declines in the Anta brand's margin by 1.7 percentage points and FILA's by 2.2 percentage points [3] - The acquisition is aimed at enhancing Anta's global position and international competitiveness, leveraging Puma's established channels and brand presence in the European and American markets [3]

对于此次收购，安踏体育创始人丁世忠表示，"彪马是具有标志性意义的全球知名品牌，有着深厚的品 牌资产。收购彪马的股权成为最大股东，是集团深入推进'单聚焦、多品牌、全球化'发展战略的重要里 程碑。" 而安踏体育也一直在通过收购进行全球化布局。自2009年起，先后将亚玛芬体育及始祖鸟、萨洛蒙和迪 桑特、狼爪等品牌纳入麾下，公司业务已覆盖了大部分运动场景。此外，有消息称安踏还是锐步、加拿 大鹅、猛犸象等运动品牌的潜在买家。 1月27日早间，安踏体育在港交所公告，宣布已与Pinault家族的投资公司Groupe Artémis 达成购股协 议，将收购收购运动品牌彪马所属公司PUMA SE 29.06%的股权，现金对价为15.05亿欧元。 据悉，安踏体育此次收购预计于2026年底前完成，所需资金全部来源于安踏集团的内部自有现金储备， 且目前没有对彪马发起要约收购的计划。 资料显示，彪马总部位于德国，Pinault家族是其控股股东。目前，公司旗下拥有Cobra Golf、stichd等品 牌，业务覆盖足球、跑步、综合训练、篮球和赛车等运动品类，市场版图涉及120多个国家和地区。 然而，这家老牌运动品牌近年的业绩表现较为低迷 ...

丨证券研究报告丨 [Table_scodeMsg1] 港股研究丨公司点评丨安踏体育（02020.HK） [Table_Title] 零售持续承压，后续指引谨慎 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 安踏体育发布 2025Q4 零售数据，安踏品牌零售流水同比低单下滑，FILA 品牌零售流水同比中 单增长，其他品牌零售流水同比增长 35%-40%。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] SAC：S0490518020002 SAC：S0490524110001 SFC：BUU942 于旭辉 柯睿 陈信志 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 [Table_scodeMsg2] 安踏体育（02020.HK） cjzqdt11111 [Table_Title2] 零售持续承压，后续指引谨慎 [Table_Summary2] 事件描述 安踏体育发布 2025Q4 零售数据，安踏品牌零售流水同比低单下滑，FILA 品牌零售流水同比 中单增长，其他品牌零售流水同比增长 35%-40%。 事件评论 丨证券研究报告丨 2026-01-26 港股研究丨公司点评 ...

Core Viewpoint - Anta's main brand retail performance faced pressure in Q4 2025, while FILA showed recovery, and all other brands experienced significant growth [1][2] Group 1: Q4 2025 Performance - Anta's main brand retail amount decreased by a low single-digit percentage year-on-year in Q4 2025 [1] - FILA brand retail amount increased by a mid-single-digit percentage year-on-year in Q4 2025 [1] - Other brands saw retail amounts grow by 35-40% year-on-year in Q4 2025 [1] Group 2: Factors Influencing Performance - The pressure on Anta's main brand is attributed to weakening domestic consumption momentum and a warm winter affecting sales, along with a delayed peak sales season due to the late Chinese New Year in 2026 [1] - Anta's main brand did not resort to aggressive promotions to boost short-term scale [1] - FILA's recovery is supported by healthy e-commerce growth and a clear brand positioning with a stable management team [1] Group 3: Other Brands Performance - Other brands are expected to maintain high growth, with Descente anticipated to grow rapidly due to the popularity of winter sports and strong brand foundation in professional sports [1] - KAILAS is also expected to see strong growth driven by good outdoor consumption trends and ongoing national expansion efforts [1] Group 4: 2026 Outlook - The company is expected to maintain steady growth in 2026, with Anta's main brand benefiting from the Lighthouse Plan, continuous store renovations, and expansion into new business models [2] - FILA is projected to continue its growth momentum [2] - Other brands, despite increasing scale, are expected to maintain rapid growth due to competitive strength and industry conditions [2] Group 5: Earnings Forecast and Investment Recommendation - The company’s EPS is forecasted to be 4.70, 5.12, and 5.79 CNY per share for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [2] - Given the company's strong competitive position as an industry leader, a PE ratio of 18 times for 2026 is suggested, leading to a target value of 102.81 HKD per share [2] - The company maintains a "Buy" rating based on these projections [2]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a current price of 77.05 HKD and a target value of 102.81 HKD [4]. Core Insights - In Q4 2025, the main brand of the company faced pressure, while the FILA brand showed signs of recovery, and other brands maintained high growth rates. The main brand's retail sales experienced a low single-digit decline year-on-year, whereas FILA's retail sales grew in the mid-single digits. Other brands saw retail sales growth of 35-40% year-on-year [8]. - The company is expected to maintain steady growth in 2026, driven by the "Lighthouse Plan," continuous store renovations, and new business models. The FILA brand is anticipated to continue its growth momentum, while other brands are expected to sustain rapid growth despite increasing competition [8]. - Earnings per share (EPS) forecasts for 2025-2027 are 4.70, 5.12, and 5.79 CNY, respectively. The company is assigned a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 18 times for 2026, leading to a reasonable value of 102.81 HKD per share [8]. Financial Summary - Main revenue is projected to grow from 62,356 million CNY in 2023 to 94,684 million CNY in 2027, with growth rates of 16.2%, 13.6%, 9.4%, 10.0%, and 11.1% respectively [2]. - EBITDA is expected to increase from 19,708 million CNY in 2023 to 29,797 million CNY in 2027 [2]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to rise from 10,236 million CNY in 2023 to 16,198 million CNY in 2027, with a notable growth rate of 34.9% in 2023 followed by a 52.4% increase in 2024 [2]. - The company’s return on equity (ROE) is projected to be 19.9% in 2023, peaking at 25.3% in 2024, and stabilizing around 19.4% to 19.8% in the following years [2].

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Recommended" [6] Core Insights - Anta's Q4 2025 operational data shows a decline in main brand sales, while FILA and other brands experienced low single-digit negative growth and mid-single-digit positive growth, respectively. For the entire year of 2025, Anta, FILA, and other brands recorded retail sales growth of low single digits, mid-single digits, and 45-50% positive growth [2][3] - Xtep's Q4 2025 operational data indicates that the main brand's retail sales remained flat, with discounts ranging from 70% to 75%. The Saucony brand achieved over 30% year-on-year growth in retail sales. For the full year of 2025, Xtep's main brand and Saucony recorded low single-digit and over 30% positive growth in retail sales, respectively [2][3] Summary by Sections 1. Weekly Insights - Anta's Q4 2025 operational data shows a decline in main brand sales, while FILA and other brands experienced low single-digit negative growth and mid-single-digit positive growth, respectively. For the entire year of 2025, Anta, FILA, and other brands recorded retail sales growth of low single digits, mid-single digits, and 45-50% positive growth [2][3] - Xtep's Q4 2025 operational data indicates that the main brand's retail sales remained flat, with discounts ranging from 70% to 75%. The Saucony brand achieved over 30% year-on-year growth in retail sales. For the full year of 2025, Xtep's main brand and Saucony recorded low single-digit and over 30% positive growth in retail sales, respectively [2][3] 2. Market Review - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.84%, while the SW textile and apparel sector increased by 3.83%, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 2.99% [14] - The top five stocks in the textile and apparel sector by weekly increase were Tianchuang Fashion, Yanjing Co., Mengjie Co., Tanshan Outdoor, and Sanfu Outdoor [14] 3. Industry Data Tracking 3.1. Raw Material Data - The Australian wool market index rose by 6.49% in the week ending January 15, 2026, and has increased by 38.49% since the beginning of 2025 [4][32] - The cotton price index in China decreased slightly, with a year-to-date increase of 1.83% as of January 23, 2026 [26] 3.2. Export Data - In 2025, textile and apparel exports totaled $267.79 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 2.26% [45] - In December 2025, the export value of oilcloth, tents, and sunshades decreased by 8.89% year-on-year [50] 3.3. End Consumer Data - In December 2025, the online retail sales of the apparel industry decreased by 11.93% year-on-year, with a total of 45.55 billion yuan [3.3.4] - The total retail sales of social consumer goods in 2025 grew by 0.9% year-on-year, while online retail sales increased by 8.6% [3.3.5]