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北京码农进入买房冷静期
3 6 Ke· 2025-09-05 02:47
Core Viewpoint - The real estate market in the southern area of Changping, Beijing, is experiencing a significant downturn, characterized by declining sales rates and falling prices for both new and second-hand properties [1][5][7]. Group 1: Sales Performance - The pre-sale rate for the new project "China Overseas Future Realm" is only 23.7% after two months, with a total of 342 units available [1]. - Another project, "Yuexiu Xingyao Future," has a pre-sale rate of just 17.5% after five months, with 930 units initially offered [2]. - The average transaction price for residential properties in the area has dropped significantly, with some projects seeing price reductions of over 7% in the past year [6][10]. Group 2: Price Trends - The average price of new homes in the Changping area has been under pressure, with recent months showing accelerated declines in transaction prices [5][6]. - The price of second-hand homes in key areas like Huilongguan and Shahe has decreased by 14.18% and 11.41%, respectively, over the past year [7][10]. - Notable examples include a property in Huilongguan that saw a price drop of 35.1% from its peak [12]. Group 3: Market Dynamics - The decline in the Changping market is attributed to two main factors: collapsing second-hand home prices and an oversupply of new homes [7][34]. - The influx of new projects has created a competitive environment, leading to price wars among developers [37]. - The overall transaction volume in Changping has decreased significantly, with monthly sales dropping from an average of 557.5 units in 2023 to 365 units in the first eight months of 2025 [33][35]. Group 4: Supply and Demand - The supply of new homes in Changping is expected to exceed 10,000 units, which is sufficient to meet demand for the next two years [34][35]. - The shift in market dynamics has led to a decrease in the purchasing power of potential buyers, particularly as the influx of clients from urban areas has slowed [44]. - The market is witnessing a trend where transactions are increasingly concentrated in urban areas, while suburban regions like Changping are experiencing a decline in sales [39][40].