新房销量下降

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黄奇帆再预言未来房地产,今年已经应验,明年或大概率也是对的
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-03 13:39
Group 1 - Huang Qifan's predictions about the real estate market have been largely validated, with expectations for the next two years aligning with his forecasts [1][3] - He predicted a significant decline in new home sales, estimating that annual transactions could drop below 1 billion square meters, representing a total reduction of approximately 40% [5] - Huang also forecasted that housing prices would stabilize, with average growth rates aligning closely with GDP growth rates or even slower, which has been observed in the current market [7] Group 2 - The previous rapid increase in housing prices was driven by supply-demand imbalances, monetary factors, and external influences, but the current market has shifted to a state of oversupply, reducing upward pressure on prices [10][12] - Policy measures from the government, such as efforts to stabilize the real estate market, are expected to continue, but the recovery may face challenges, leading to a likely continuation of declining sales area trends [15] - Predictions indicate that new construction and investment in real estate will continue to decline, with estimates suggesting a 15.6% drop in new construction area and an 8.7% decrease in development investment by 2025 [19]