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“十五五”强调科技自立自强,关注新材料自主产业链 | 投研报告
Group 1: Industry Trends - The "14th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes technological self-reliance and the focus on new materials and autonomous industrial chains, highlighting high-quality development as a priority [2] - The National Development and Reform Commission aims to accelerate the development of strategic emerging industries such as new energy, new materials, and aerospace, potentially creating several trillion-level markets [2] - The report indicates that the chemical new materials industry is entering a period of accelerated domestic substitution, with opportunities in semiconductor materials and high-end engineering plastics [2] Group 2: Market Performance - During the week of October 20-24, 2025, the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 Index rose by 3.24%, while the Shenwan Oil and Petrochemical Index increased by 4.33%, outperforming the market by 1.09 percentage points [3] - The Shenwan Basic Chemical Index rose by 2.14%, underperforming the market by 1.10 percentage points, with the oilfield services and other petrochemical sectors showing the highest gains [3] Group 3: Price Movements - Key price increases for the week included hydrochloric acid (19.05%), NYMEX natural gas (7.42%), and sulfur (6.57%), while significant price drops were seen in R22 (-21.69%) and propylene (-6.62%) [4][5] Group 4: Investment Recommendations - The supply side is expected to undergo structural optimization, with a focus on sectors with elastic and advantageous products, such as organic silicon and membrane materials [5] - The report suggests that domestic chemical enterprises are rapidly filling gaps in the international supply chain, driven by cost advantages and technological advancements [5] Group 5: Consumer Trends and Technological Development - New consumer trends are driving demand for health additives and sugar substitutes, with the food additive industry expected to expand due to supportive regulations [6] - The overall self-sufficiency rate of China's chemical new materials is about 56%, indicating a significant opportunity for domestic substitution in sectors like semiconductor materials and high-end additives [6]