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西部证券:聚焦AI算力供不应求和新技术演进 低轨卫星进入景气周期
智通财经网· 2025-12-17 03:04
AI Computing Power - AI computing power is entering a new stage, with a focus on structural changes by 2026, including a shift in demand from training to inference computing [2] - Capital expenditure (Capex) investment structure shows stability among leading cloud providers, with second-tier cloud providers joining the market [2] - The architecture of computing networks is evolving, with scale-up and scale-across strategies contributing to increased network demand [2] - Continuous upgrades in GPU technology and the rise of ASIC chips are accelerating the growth of domestic computing power [2] Optical Interconnection - The industry is facing a supply-demand imbalance, particularly in optical modules, optical chips, and Faraday rotators [3] - Key technological trends include 1.6T, silicon photonics, OCS, and CPO, with a focus on resolving supply-demand conflicts and the impact of technological upgrades on supplier dynamics and profitability by 2026 [3] - Major beneficiaries of technological upgrades in the optical module sector include leading companies like Zhongji Xuchuang and Xinyi Technology [3] - Supply constraints are noted for optical chip suppliers such as Yuanjie Technology and Shijia Photonics [3] Liquid Cooling - The server liquid cooling market is at a historic turning point, with significant demand in North America, Southeast Asia, and China, particularly in the North American computing market [4] - Current suppliers of liquid cooling solutions are primarily from Taiwan and the United States, with potential for domestic manufacturers to achieve breakthroughs [4] - Key focus on Invec [4] AIDC (Artificial Intelligence Data Center) - The IDC industry is expected to maintain an expansion trend driven by AI development, with an increase in AIDC penetration rates by 2026 [5] - Core focus areas include the international expansion of third-party IDC companies and the optimization of industry competition dynamics [5] - New REITs are anticipated to be released, enhancing companies' financing capabilities [5] Supernode Integrated Equipment - The supernode network requires high standards for complete cabinets, circuit boards, and connection chips, with strong supply chain dependencies [6] - Focus on connection chip suppliers, including switching chips and interface chips, as well as Ethernet switch manufacturers [6] Commercial Aerospace - The low Earth orbit satellite sector is entering an accelerated growth phase, supported by national policies and a strong upward trend in the commercial aerospace industry [7] - The successful launch of the Zhuque-3 rocket marks the beginning of a new era for China's commercial aerospace sector, which is expected to experience rapid growth [7] - Key variables include the success rate of various rocket payloads and capacity planning, with attention to satellite constellation bidding orders once capacity stabilizes [7]