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苹果(AAPL):FY2Q25业绩跟踪:略超预期,需持续关注关税进展
EBSCN· 2025-05-02 14:19
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Insights - The company's FY2Q25 performance slightly exceeded expectations, with revenue of $95.36 billion, a year-over-year increase of 5.1%, driven by strong sales in iPhone, Mac, iPad, and services [3][4] - The gross margin for the quarter was 47.1%, up 0.5 percentage points year-over-year, and net profit reached $24.78 billion, reflecting a 4.8% increase year-over-year [3][4] - The company announced a new $100 billion stock buyback authorization and a 4% increase in dividends to $0.26 per share, continuing its tradition of annual dividend growth for 13 consecutive years [5] Revenue Performance - iPhone revenue was $46.841 billion, a 1.9% year-over-year increase, with global shipments up 10% year-over-year [6] - iPad revenue grew by 15.2% year-over-year to $6.4 billion, benefiting from the launch of new models [7] - Mac revenue reached $7.95 billion, a 6.7% increase year-over-year, supported by new product launches [7] - Wearable device revenue declined by 5.0% year-over-year to $7.52 billion, falling short of market expectations [8] - Service revenue was $26.65 billion, an 11.6% year-over-year increase, marking the tenth consecutive quarter of record revenue [8] Cost and Guidance - The company anticipates an increase in costs due to tariffs, estimating an impact of $900 million in FY3Q25, but has no plans to raise product prices in the short term [4][9] - Guidance for FY3Q25 indicates low to mid-single-digit year-over-year revenue growth, with gross margins expected to decline to between 45.5% and 46.5% [4] Profitability Forecast - The report projects GAAP net profits for FY2025 to be $101.54 billion, reflecting an 8.3% growth year-over-year [13] - The company expects to maintain a strong cash position, with cash and securities reserves reaching $133 billion [5] Market Dynamics - The report highlights concerns regarding tariff pressures and their potential impact on the company's business model, which relies heavily on offshore manufacturing and global sales [9][10] - The company is also facing challenges related to AI feature rollouts and competition in the Chinese market, where iPhone sales have been declining for seven consecutive quarters [10][11]