服饰大融合
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全球运动鞋服份额获取或已达瓶颈,服饰大融合时代到来
Haitong Securities International· 2026-03-03 14:01
Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Outperform" rating to several companies including Nike, Anta Sports, Li Ning, and Crystal International, while Lululemon is rated as "Neutral" [1]. Core Insights - The global athletic footwear and apparel market may have reached a saturation point in gaining market share from casualwear, particularly in North America. The share of athletic footwear and apparel rose from 14.1% to 18.5% over the past decade, but the growth gap between athletic and casual segments has narrowed significantly post-pandemic [4][66]. - In China, casualwear still dominates with over 70% market share, indicating potential for athletic brands to continue gaining ground [67]. - The resurgence of casual apparel since 2022, driven by a return to millennial aesthetics, has positively impacted brands like GAP, Victoria's Secret, and Levi's, which have all seen growth in recent years [68]. Summary by Sections Global Athletic Footwear and Apparel Market - The global athletic footwear and apparel market's share from casualwear has plateaued, with only minor gains expected moving forward. In 2025, the market share for athletic footwear and apparel is projected to increase by just 0.2% and 0.1% from casualwear and casual footwear, respectively [4][66]. - The North American market shows a similar trend, with a mere 0.1% increase in athletic footwear and apparel share in 2025 [12]. China Market Dynamics - China's casualwear market share is projected at 70.6% in 2025, leaving room for athletic brands to capture more market share from casualwear. The trend of athletic brands gaining share from casualwear is expected to continue, although the casual footwear segment is nearing saturation [13][67]. Brand Performance and Trends - GAP and Old Navy have experienced sustained same-store sales growth since mid-2023, attributed to a brand reset under new leadership [68]. - Victoria's Secret has returned to growth by focusing on comfortable and casual lingerie and loungewear, while Levi's has maintained steady growth as a leader in the denim market, benefiting from the resurgence of Y2K fashion trends [68]. Competitive Landscape - The report highlights that athleisure is becoming a new battleground for sports brands, with Adidas successfully revitalizing its brand through lifestyle segments and Lululemon expanding into casual and workwear categories [69]. - Stock picks include Crystal International, which benefits from the trend of apparel convergence, and Chinese athletic brands like Li Ning and Anta Sports, which still have room for market share growth [70].