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晨会纪要:开源晨会0704-20250703
KAIYUAN SECURITIES· 2025-07-03 15:03
Group 1: Overall Market Trends - The Shanghai Composite Index and ChiNext Index have shown a decline of 16% over the past year, indicating a challenging market environment [2] - The top five performing industries yesterday included Electronics (+1.691%), Electric Equipment (+1.382%), and Pharmaceutical Biology (+1.351%) [3] - Conversely, the bottom five performing industries were Coal (-1.160%), Transportation (-0.282%), and Steel (-0.133%) [4] Group 2: Fixed Income Insights - The central bank's bond-buying actions are seen as a preparation for reinitiating bond purchases, with significant activity starting on May 12, 2025 [5][14] - The current yield spread between 2-year government bonds and 2-year policy bonds is considered reasonable, potentially influenced by the central bank's bond-buying methods [15] - The central bank's bond-buying is primarily viewed as a long-term channel for basic currency injection, with historical shifts in monetary policy tools indicating a move towards bond transactions [7][8] Group 3: Company-Specific Analysis - TaoTao Vehicle (301345.SZ) - The company is expected to report a net profit of 2.24 to 2.74 billion yuan for Q2 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 71% to 109% [5][19] - The projected net profits for 2025-2027 are 6.65 billion, 8.26 billion, and 10.08 billion yuan, with corresponding EPS of 6.12, 7.60, and 9.28 yuan [5][19] - The company is expanding into the robotics and intelligent product sectors, with a strategic partnership announced for humanoid robots, indicating a focus on innovation and market growth [21][20]