在开始阅读这篇文章之前，大家可以先点击关注，这样我们可以一起讨论、分享。我会定期创作更多内 容，尽力满足大家的期待。 **前言** 大家好，今天我想和大家聊一聊法国总统马克龙提出与俄罗斯总 统普京会谈的事情。首先，我要提醒大家：在当前俄乌战争的复杂局面中，特朗普的重新登场已经改变 了许多游戏规则，而马克龙的努力，或许最终只是徒劳无功。 **马克龙试图借俄乌战争制造新闻？** 12月21日，国际新闻界出现了一个小插曲——法国总统马克龙 突然表示，他希望与普京进行会谈。普京回应道，可以先进行会谈。随即，双方明确了各自的立场：俄 罗斯不打算直接与美国或乌克兰对话，而法国则希望作为中介，与俄罗斯首先展开接触。有人可能会 问，马克龙这是想搞什么大动作吗？我们不妨先分析一下。今年俄乌战争最大的变化因素，实际上是特 朗普的重新出现在政治舞台上。 **马克龙欲抓住最后的机会** 再来看看马克龙，这次他主动提出与普京会谈，其实是想抓住欧洲政治 的最后机会。如今，欧洲的政治几乎成了正确但无能的代名词。许多政客口口声声谈论政治正确，却连 能源危机和通货膨胀问题都无法解决，眼看这些领导人已经没有多少政治前途。在德国、法国、英国三 国 ...

Core Insights - The local elections in North Rhine-Westphalia, Germany, resulted in a significant gain for the far-right party, Alternative for Germany (AfD), which nearly tripled its vote share, indicating a shift in political sentiment [1][2] - The Christian Democratic Union (CDU) maintained its position as the largest party with 33.3% of the votes, although this represents a 1% decline from the previous election [1] - The Social Democratic Party (SPD) received 22.1% of the votes, down 2.2% from the last election, reflecting a poor performance [1] - The Green Party suffered the most significant losses in this election [1] Summary by Category Election Results - CDU secured 33.3% of the votes, a decrease of 1% from 2020 [1] - SPD garnered 22.1% of the votes, down 2.2% from the last election [1] - AfD's vote share surged from 5.1% to 14.5%, making it the third-largest party [1] - The Green Party experienced the most severe losses [1] Political Implications - The election results are viewed as a critical test for the government led by CDU's Merz, signaling potential challenges for the coalition government [1][2] - CDU officials emphasized the need for vigilance and reiterated their stance against collaborating with AfD at the local level [1] - The results align with national polling trends, indicating a broader shift in political sentiment across Germany [2]

Election Overview - The parliamentary election in Portugal on the 18th resulted in the center-right Social Democratic Party winning the most seats but failing to secure an absolute majority of 116 seats, making it unable to form a government alone [1] - The far-right "Enough" party achieved a record high vote share, becoming the biggest winner of the election [1] - The election was the third early parliamentary election in Portugal within less than four years, raising questions about the political stability and future governance [1] Rise of the Far-Right Party - The "Enough" party capitalized on widespread voter dissatisfaction regarding issues such as housing shortages, strained public healthcare resources, and frequent corruption scandals [2] - The traditional left-wing Socialist Party, which has been in power since 2015, saw a decline in support due to multiple corruption scandals and a lack of improvement in the living conditions of the populace, leading to a political crisis in 2024 [2] - The rise of the "Enough" party reflects a broader trend of far-right parties gaining traction across Europe, breaking Portugal's previous status as an exception [2] Future Political Landscape - Portugal operates under a parliamentary system with a unicameral legislature consisting of 230 members serving four-year terms [3] - The current political situation remains uncertain, particularly regarding whether President de Sousa will invite Prime Minister Montenegro to form a government [3] - Montenegro has ruled out forming a coalition with the "Enough" party, citing concerns over its reliability and stability, which poses significant governance challenges for any new government [3]