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中国广核(003816):核电资产注入在即;电价探底提供布局机会
Ge Long Hui· 2025-08-30 03:18
Core Viewpoint - China General Nuclear Power Corporation (CGN) reported its 1H25 performance, with revenue and profit showing slight declines compared to the previous year, aligning with market expectations [1][2]. Financial Performance - 1H25 revenue decreased by 0.5% year-on-year to 39.2 billion yuan, while profit fell by 16.3% to 5.95 billion yuan. In 2Q25, revenue dropped by 5.2% to 19.1 billion yuan, and profit decreased by 16.5% to 2.93 billion yuan [1]. - The average financing cost for the company in 1H25 was 2.64%, down 39 basis points from 2024. Financial expenses decreased by 8.8% to 2.28 billion yuan, with the financial expense ratio down by 0.5 percentage points to 5.8% [2]. Electricity Pricing and Volume - The average market transaction price for electricity in 1H25 fell by 3.2 cents to 0.36 yuan per kilowatt-hour, remaining stable compared to the first quarter. In Guangdong, the average price was approximately 0.33 yuan per kilowatt-hour, down 6.5 cents year-on-year [1]. - The company completed 8 annual overhauls and 2 ten-year overhauls in the first half of the year, with total overhaul days at 414, a reduction of 109 days year-on-year. This led to an 8.8% increase in online electricity volume to 89.3 billion kilowatt-hours [1]. Development Trends - The company plans to acquire equity in four companies for 9.4 billion yuan, which includes four under-construction and approved units, potentially enriching its operational and construction unit portfolio. The acquisition includes 82% of Huizhou Nuclear Power and 100% of Huizhou Second, Huizhou Third, and Zhanjiang Nuclear Power [2]. - The company has not yet initiated the acquisition of Cangnan Phase I due to various factors, with expected operational dates for Cangnan units 1 and 2 around 2026 and 2027 [2]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company has adjusted its profit forecasts for 2025-26 down by 10.9% and 13.5% to 9.6 billion yuan. The current A-share price corresponds to a 20.2 times and 20.1 times price-to-earnings ratio for 2025-26, while the H-share price corresponds to 14.5 times and 14.2 times [2]. - The company maintains a positive outlook on the long-term stable dividend investment value of high-quality nuclear power assets, with target prices for A/H shares remaining unchanged at 5.07 yuan and 3.59 HKD, indicating potential upside of 33% and 20% respectively [2].
中国广核(003816):量增价减影响利润表现,资产注入保障远期成长
上 市 公 司 公用事业 2025 年 08 月 29 日 中国广核 (003816) ——量增价减影响利润表现 资产注入保障远期成长 联系人 朱赫 (8621)23297818× zhuhe@swsresearch.com 报告原因:有业绩公布需要点评 买入(维持) | 市场数据: | 2025 年 08 月 28 日 | | --- | --- | | 收盘价(元) | 3.82 | | 一年内最高/最低(元) | 4.92/3.33 | | 市净率 | 1.6 | | 股息率%(分红/股价) | 2.49 | | 流通 A 股市值(百万元) | 150,260 | | 上证指数/深证成指 | 3,843.60/12,571.37 | | 注:"股息率"以最近一年已公布分红计算 | | | 基础数据: | 2025 年 06 月 30 日 | | --- | --- | | 每股净资产(元) | 2.39 | | 资产负债率% | 60.23 | | 总股本/流通 A 股(百万) | 50,499/39,335 | | 流通 B 股/H 股(百万) | -/11,164 | 一年内股价与大盘对比走势: 0 ...