CryptoQuant CEO Ki Young Ju 发文称，比特币下跌的核心原因在于卖压持续、缺乏新增资金流入。早期 持有者在 ETF 与 MicroStrategy 推动下获利了结，资金流入已明显减弱。MSTR 是本轮行情的重要驱动 之一，除非 Michael Saylor 大幅抛售，否则不太可能出现类似以往周期 70% 的暴跌，但底部尚未明确， 市场更可能进入宽幅震荡整理。 （来源：吴说） ...

11月17日，行情显示，比特币跌至93778.6美元，过去24小时内跌1.82%，抹去今年以来所有涨幅。 ...

Group 1 - Bitcoin is currently priced at $115,200, showing a balanced state between bullish and bearish forces, with a daily bullish arrangement but reduced trading volume indicating weakened market momentum [1] - The price is oscillating within the range of $115,000 to $116,000, forming a high-level consolidation pattern, while the 2-hour candlestick chart shows consecutive bearish closes and weakening MACD momentum, suggesting a short-term bearish trend [1] - Despite the daily MACD remaining in the bullish zone, a death cross has appeared, indicating potential volatility risks due to directional choices [1] Group 2 - Short-term trading strategy for Bitcoin suggests entering long positions around $114,500 with a stop loss at $114,000 and a target of $116,000, while short positions can be initiated near $116,500 with a stop loss at $117,000 and a target of $115,000 [3] - Ethereum is currently priced at $4,580, exhibiting a typical range-bound pattern with key support near $4,455, although the moving average system remains bullish, the continuous decline in trading volume reflects limited market participation [3] - The daily chart shows consecutive bearish closes, and the 2-hour chart indicates a simultaneous decline in both highs and lows, suggesting increased short-term bearish momentum [3] Group 3 - Short-term trading strategy for Ethereum recommends entering long positions around $4,500 with a stop loss at $4,450 and a target of $4,650, while short positions can be initiated near $4,750 with a stop loss at $4,800 and a target of $4,600 [6] - The market is characterized by rapid changes, emphasizing the importance of rigorous analysis and decisive execution, with no permanent trends, allowing for both long and short opportunities [6] - Investors are advised to make rational judgments and respond flexibly to market conditions, avoiding blind chasing of price movements to maintain stability amid volatility [6]