Industry Rating - The report maintains a neutral rating for the civil explosives industry [1] Core Insights - The civil explosives industry is characterized by stable demand growth, strong resilience, and policy-driven supply-side consolidation [2][3] - The market size for civil explosives in China is approximately 400 billion [2] - The production value of civil explosive enterprises reached 416.95 billion in 2024, with a profit total of 96.39 billion, indicating a profit growth of 13.04% year-on-year [14][19] - The industry is transitioning from product sales to integrated operations, including research, production, sales, import-export, and blasting services [2][3] Summary by Sections Industry Overview - Civil explosives are essential in energy and infrastructure industries, with a significant role in mining and construction [2][3] - The production value of civil explosive enterprises in 2024 was 416.95 billion, down 4.5% year-on-year, while profits increased by 13.04% [14][19] Market Dynamics - The industry is experiencing a shift towards higher concentration, with the CR20 increasing from 50.5% in 2013 to 83.17% in 2024 [2][48] - The demand for civil explosives is regionally concentrated, with notable growth in Xinjiang due to coal and hydropower projects [3] Production and Sales - In 2024, the total production and sales of industrial explosives were 449 million tons and 448.5 million tons, respectively, showing a slight decline [14][19] - The main types of industrial explosives produced include gel emulsified explosives and porous ammonium oil explosives, which together account for over 80% of total production [16][19] Policy and Regulation - The government aims to enhance industry concentration and optimize product structure, with plans to form 3 to 5 large competitive enterprises by 2027 [2][48][44] - Policies are encouraging the development of mixed explosives and the reduction of traditional explosives [40][42] Investment Opportunities - Companies to watch include Guangdong Hongda, Yipuli, Guotai Group, Jiangnan Chemical, and Yahua Group, which are positioned well within the evolving market landscape [3]

本报记者徐一鸣 值得一提的是，为保护上市公司及全体股东利益，江南化工与昌龙化工签署了《业绩承诺补偿协议》。 根据协议，昌龙化工承诺峨边国昌在2025年度、2026年度和2027年度累计实现的净利润总额不低于 6307.48万元。若业绩承诺期间内峨边国昌实际净利润小于业绩承诺期内的净利润，昌龙化工应对江南 化工以现金方式进行补偿。 上海大学悉尼工商学院讲师王雨婷在接受《证券日报》记者采访时表示，若收购时没有明确业绩承诺， 当被收购公司业绩不及预期时，收购方则面临着较大风险，进而影响整体收益和战略目标实现。 支培元认为，若峨边国昌能够完成承诺的净利润，将直接为江南化工带来利润增长，提升公司整体的经 营业绩和盈利能力。从长期来看，有利于形成协同发展、互惠互利的高质量发展局面。 从行业角度看，《"十四五"民用爆炸物品行业安全发展规划》提出，到2025年，民爆行业安全水平再上 新台阶，创新能力得到新提升，结构调整取得新成效，发展质量达到新水平，治理效能得到新提高。其 中，生产企业（集团）数量由76家减少到50家以内。 王雨婷表示，在政策支持下，市场资源将向优质企业靠拢，民爆行业的集中度将会进一步提升，行业竞 争格局也会 ...