水果消费精细化
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谁在取代车厘子?
吴晓波频道· 2026-01-14 00:29
Core Viewpoint - The price of cherries has significantly decreased this winter, making them less appealing as a luxury fruit and more of a common consumer item, influenced by increased supply and changing consumer preferences [3][4][30]. Group 1: Price Trends and Market Dynamics - This winter, the price of cherries has dropped by over 20% compared to the previous year, with some distributors reporting the lowest prices in a decade [3][7]. - The price of cherries has become less prominent compared to other fruits, with online prices showing discounts of up to 20% compared to offline prices [3][8]. - The increase in supply is attributed to an early harvest and improved logistics, with the shipping time from Chile to China reduced to as little as 23 days [8][30]. Group 2: Supply Chain and Import Factors - Chile has expanded its cherry cultivation area from approximately 7,600 hectares in 2004 to over 76,000 hectares in 2024, leading to a significant increase in export volume [7]. - Despite a forecasted decrease in export volume to 550,000 tons this year, the rapid influx of cherries into the Chinese market has created oversupply [7][8]. - The implementation of "cherry fast lanes" and reduced shipping costs have further facilitated the import process, lowering costs by over 60% compared to air freight [8][30]. Group 3: Changing Consumer Preferences - The perception of cherries has shifted from a luxury item to a common fruit, with consumers now having a wider variety of choices, including tropical fruits and unique varieties [12][21]. - Negative media coverage regarding health concerns associated with cherries has also impacted consumer demand, leading to a decline in high-grade cherry purchases for gifting [9][11]. - The demand for fruit that is visually appealing and suitable for gifting has evolved, with innovative packaging and presentation becoming more important [18][21]. Group 4: Future Outlook and Industry Adaptation - The cherry industry is exploring new markets and strategies to adapt to changing consumer preferences and increased competition, including promoting alliance agreements and staggered shipments [30][31]. - The logistics improvements that benefited the cherry market may also support the import of other fruits, indicating a potential shift in the competitive landscape [31].