Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [5] Core Views - The overall performance of the company is stable as expected, with a financial cost reduction exceeding market expectations [5] - The company reported a net profit attributable to shareholders of 32.496 billion yuan for 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 19.28% [8] - The company achieved a total power generation of approximately 295.904 billion kWh in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 7.11% [8] - Financial expenses decreased by 1.425 billion yuan in 2024, surpassing market expectations, while investment income grew steadily [8] - The company announced a record high dividend amount, maintaining a payout ratio of 71% [8] - The report emphasizes the long-term investment value of hydropower, highlighting its stability and low correlation with market volatility [8] Financial Performance and Forecast - Revenue for 2023 is projected at 78.112 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 50.04% [7] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025 is estimated at 34.169 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 5.15% [7] - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is expected to be 1.40 yuan [7] - The return on equity (ROE) for 2025 is projected at 15.29% [7] - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio for 2025 is estimated at 21.02 [7]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [4] Core Views - The company has experienced improved water conditions in 2024, leading to record high performance in Q1 2025. The revenue for 2024 was CNY 24.882 billion, a year-on-year increase of 6.05%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was CNY 8.297 billion, up 8.63% year-on-year. In Q1 2025, the company achieved revenue of CNY 5.385 billion, a year-on-year growth of 21.84%, and a net profit of CNY 1.508 billion, reflecting a 41.56% increase year-on-year [7][5]. Financial Performance Summary - The company’s projected net profits for 2025-2027 are CNY 8.848 billion, CNY 9.042 billion, and CNY 9.274 billion respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 19.5, 19.1, and 18.6 times [5]. - The company’s 2024 dividend policy is set at CNY 0.2 per share, with a dividend payout ratio of 43.39%, resulting in a dividend yield of 2.2% based on the stock price as of April 28, 2025 [5]. - The company’s total revenue is expected to grow from CNY 24.882 billion in 2024 to CNY 28.287 billion in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate of approximately 3.31% [8]. Operational Highlights - The company’s total installed capacity reached 31,008.5 MW by the end of 2024, with hydropower accounting for 27,305.8 MW and renewable energy for 3,702.7 MW. The completion of the Toba power station in 2024 is expected to contribute additional generation capacity [7]. - The company’s hydropower generation in 2024 was 1,120 billion kWh, a year-on-year increase of 4.62%, with significant contributions from improved water conditions in the Lancang River basin [7]. Market Context - The report emphasizes the long-term investment value of hydropower as a stable asset class in a volatile market, highlighting the market's re-evaluation of low-covariance assets like hydropower due to their stable business models and predictable performance [7].