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石化油服(600871):签署道达尔3.59亿美元EPSCC合同,与国际能源巨头合作深化:石化油服(600871.SH/1033.HK)公告点评
EBSCN· 2025-09-26 07:23
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for both A-shares and H-shares of the company [6]. Core Views - The company has signed a $359 million EPSCC contract with Total Energy for the Iraq Ratavi oil field, marking a significant collaboration with an international energy giant [1][2]. - The new contract represents 3.15% of the company's projected revenue for 2024, indicating a strong contribution to future earnings [2]. - The company is actively expanding its overseas market presence, with a 71.8% year-on-year increase in new contracts signed in the first half of 2025 [3]. - The overall oil service industry remains robust, providing the company with ongoing opportunities for growth [3]. Summary by Sections Contract and Project Details - The EPSCC contract has a duration of 41 months and involves the construction of five new production and injection well sites, upgrades to 11 existing well sites, and approximately 140 kilometers of pipeline [2]. - The project is expected to be mechanically completed by March 31, 2029 [2]. Financial Projections - The company forecasts net profits of 909 million, 1.099 billion, and 1.315 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.05, 0.06, and 0.07 yuan per share [4]. - Revenue is projected to grow from 79.981 billion yuan in 2023 to 100.716 billion yuan in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate of approximately 7.19% [5][11]. Market Outlook - The global upstream exploration and development expenditure is expected to remain high, with a forecast of around $600 billion in 2025, despite a slight year-on-year decline [3]. - The domestic market is also projected to maintain a high level of activity, with the "three major oil companies" continuing to invest in capacity expansion [3]. Valuation Metrics - The report provides a P/E ratio for A-shares decreasing from 66 in 2023 to 30 in 2027, indicating an improving valuation as earnings grow [5][14]. - The company's return on equity (ROE) is expected to rise from 7.34% in 2023 to 10.98% in 2027, reflecting enhanced profitability [5][13].
通源石油拟设立利比亚分公司 积极开发增量市场打开国际化新格局
Core Viewpoint - The company, Tongyuan Petroleum, is expanding its overseas market presence by establishing a subsidiary in Libya to enhance its competitiveness and business scale [1] Group 1: Market Opportunity - Libya has significant oil and gas resources, with proven oil reserves exceeding 48 billion barrels, ranking first in Africa and tenth globally [2] - The country is strategically located for oil and gas exports to Europe, making it a key player in European energy security [2] - Libya's oil production and export have been gradually recovering since August 2024, with the National Oil Corporation planning to increase crude oil production from 1.4 million barrels per day to 2 million barrels per day by 2028 [2] Group 2: Company Strategy - Tongyuan Petroleum's subsidiary, Yilong Hengye, has secured multiple high-quality oil service projects in Libya, including the 70DB drilling rig project and other operations [3] - The company aims to leverage its differentiated competitive advantages, such as advanced perforation technology, to enhance its market position [4] - Establishing a subsidiary in Libya will allow the company to deepen its integration into the local market and improve its competitive edge [5] Group 3: Financial Context - As of July 29, Brent crude oil prices increased by 7.25% and WTI prices by 6.30%, indicating a favorable market environment for oil service companies [4] - The oil service industry is experiencing high demand due to increased capital expenditure in the upstream oil and gas sector [4] Group 4: Global Market Expansion - The company has a comprehensive domestic market presence across major unconventional oil and gas development areas in China [5] - Internationally, the company is expanding its footprint in North America and regions like Algeria, Kazakhstan, and Libya, enhancing its global market layout [5]
油价坚挺刺激投资 油服企业频签大单
Core Viewpoint - Despite recent fluctuations in international oil prices, the overall trend remains at a medium to high level, encouraging continued investment from oil extraction companies [1] Group 1: Oil and Gas Industry Investment - The oil service industry is benefiting from the sustained investment enthusiasm in upstream oil and gas due to strong crude oil prices [1] - Major oil-producing countries are increasing resource development efforts, with OPEC and non-OPEC countries planning to raise production by 548,000 barrels per day starting August [2] - Global upstream capital expenditure is expected to recover and exceed $582.4 billion by 2025, reflecting a 5% year-on-year growth [2] Group 2: Oil Service Companies' Opportunities - Oil service companies are experiencing increased demand for equipment and services, particularly in overseas markets, driven by positive investment expectations in upstream oil and gas [3] - Jerry Engineering received a contract worth approximately $8.5 billion from Algeria's national oil company for a gas booster station project [3] - China National Petroleum Engineering signed a contract worth $1.6 billion with TotalEnergies for a gas processing plant project in Iraq [3] Group 3: New Contracts and Market Expansion - Bomaike successfully entered the Suriname market with a contract valued between 750 million to 1 billion yuan for the construction of an FPSO upper module [4]