从濒临崩盘到集体上扬，合资车企的销量增长动力究竟何在？ 备受瞩目的合资车企电动化转型计划，是否到了"开花结果"的 时刻？ 作者： 周菊 封图：图虫创意 2024年合资车企销量全线下滑的颓势仍历历在目，但短短半年后，"逆袭"大戏就已上演。2025 年上半年，除了本田两家合资公司与东风日产仍未摆脱下滑态势外，其他合资车企均实现销量增 长。其中，一汽丰田以16%增速领跑，一汽-大众、上汽大众分别增长3.5%、2.3%，广汽丰田增 长11%，销量连续数年下滑的上汽通用也同比增长8.6%。 "目前尚未获取上半年完整的合资车企零售数据，但从今年1—5月销量来看，头部的德系和日系车 企，如大众、丰田均呈现正增长态势。大部分合资品牌在4月、5月的确呈现出降幅收窄、甚至由 负转正的趋势。"德勤中国企业技术与绩效事业群总裁周令坤向经济观察报表示。 从濒临崩盘到集体上扬，合资车企的销量增长动力究竟何在？备受瞩目的合资车企电动化转型计 划，是否到了"开花结果"的时刻？ 增量从何而来 过去的2024年，合资车企市场份额集体失守。其中，上汽通用同比下滑56.54%，日系三强在华 销量集体下跌（丰田跌6.9%、本田跌30.9%至十年来最低 ...

Core Viewpoint - The joint venture automotive companies in China have shown a significant recovery in sales during the first half of 2025, with most brands experiencing growth after a challenging 2024, although some, like Honda and Nissan, continue to struggle [2][3]. Group 1: Sales Performance - In the first half of 2025, major joint venture brands, except for Honda and Dongfeng Nissan, achieved sales growth, with FAW Toyota leading at a 16% increase [2]. - FAW-Volkswagen sold 436,100 units, a 3.5% increase, while SAIC Volkswagen's sales reached 523,000 units, up 2.3% [3]. - GAC Toyota's sales grew by 11%, and SAIC GM saw an 8.6% increase, marking a turnaround from previous declines [2][3]. Group 2: Fuel Vehicle Recovery - Several joint venture companies relied on fuel vehicles for recovery, with FAW-Volkswagen's fuel vehicle market share increasing by 0.7 percentage points to 7.6% [3]. - The sales of classic fuel models like the Lavida and Sagitar contributed significantly to the overall sales increase [3]. - GAC Toyota's fuel models, such as the Camry and Highlander, saw a 30% increase in sales [3]. Group 3: Electric Vehicle Challenges - Despite the recovery in fuel vehicle sales, joint venture brands continue to struggle in the electric vehicle (EV) sector, with a mere 5.3% penetration rate for mainstream brands compared to 75.4% for domestic brands [3][4]. - The overall market share for joint venture brands in the EV segment remains low, with only a few models like Volkswagen's ID series and Toyota's bZ series performing relatively well [4]. Group 4: Strategic Adjustments - Analysts attribute the sales rebound to strategic adjustments, particularly in enhancing the intelligence of fuel vehicles through partnerships with domestic tech companies [5][6]. - Joint venture brands are increasingly localizing their management and product development to better cater to Chinese consumers [7]. Group 5: Pricing Strategies - Many joint venture brands have shifted from aggressive price competition to a "reduce volume to maintain price" strategy, stabilizing terminal prices and improving dealer confidence [8]. - The introduction of fixed pricing models has also helped reduce consumer hesitation and increased foot traffic [8]. Group 6: Future Outlook - Despite the positive sales trends, joint venture brands face a challenging future, with predictions of market share declining from 40% to 10% over the next few years [9][10]. - The need for a robust electric vehicle strategy is critical, as many brands are reconsidering their electric vehicle timelines and focusing on maintaining profitability in the fuel vehicle market [10][11].

随着先进驾驶辅助系统(ADAS)技术不断成熟，消费者对高速和城市通勤场景下驾驶辅助体验的期待提升，L2级高速NOA与城市NOA加 速渗透，带动域控方案对前视一体机方案的替代，并推高中高算力SoC需求。Canalys(现并入Omdia)预计，2025年中国市场L2级及以上功 能渗透率将达62%，较2024年显著提升，高速NOA与城市NOA分别达到10.8%和9.9%。 Canalys预计2027–2028年，城市NOA增速将反超高速NOA，市场结构快速演变，将重塑SoC竞争格局。基于当前表现与节奏判断，高通 凭借Snapdragon Ride平台(包括骁龙8650、8620和8775等SoC)在产品性能与市场落地的表现，已连续两年位列Canalys中国ADAS SoC领导 力矩阵的"冠军阵营"。 驾驶辅助普及加速：市场倾向于平台化、性能和成本最优平衡SoC厂商 这一策略对SoC产品的平台化能力、算法复用效率以及端到端的交付能力提出了更高要求。同时，主机厂产品迭代节奏明显加快，小改 款车型频繁推出以应对市场竞争，这使得主机厂对SoC厂商的工具链完整度、FAE(现场应用工程师)服务响应能力和算法支持强度提出了 更加 ...