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【机构策略】A股市场有望迎来结构性的修复机会
Zheng Quan Shi Bao Wang· 2025-11-25 01:20
银河证券认为,"十五五"开局之年改革政策预期强化,人民币汇率向上等价格因素支撑流动性向好,市 场信心有望得到提振。在居民存款搬家持续演绎、机构投资者加大入市力度、全球资本流向重塑叠加政 策工具护航下,A股市场仍将受益于流动性向上逻辑。当前A股估值处于相对合理区间,从全球主要权 益市场比较来看仍处于中等偏低水平。2026年,盈利有望接棒估值,成为市场聚焦的关键点。预计上市 公司基本面延续改善态势,中国经济转型的深化与新兴产业的持续发展将成为盈利增长的关键驱动力, PPI降幅收窄也有望带动企业利润率水平进一步回升。同时,关注美国中期选举、地缘风险等因素的阶 段性扰动。2026年,A股市场有望呈现出向上动能。 财信证券认为,周一,A股大盘的缩量反弹基本在市场预期之内。一方面是市场上周经历较大波动后, 技术面上存在反弹需求;而另一方面则是周末消息面上,并未出现能很快扭转当前较浓观望情绪的信 号,因此资金风险偏好延续较低水平。短期内,仍需等待市场回暖的明确信号。预计12月中旬左右,随 着机构资金重新布局明年方向、美联储降息靴子落地,届时A股市场将迎来新一轮做多窗口期。 东莞证券认为,周一,A股三大指数小幅上涨。从技术分 ...
资金情绪持续谨慎市场出现风格切换迹象
Zhong Guo Zheng Quan Bao· 2025-10-17 20:19
Market Overview - On October 17, the A-share market experienced a broad decline, with major indices such as the Shanghai Composite Index, Shenzhen Component Index, and ChiNext Index falling by 1.95%, 3.04%, and 3.36% respectively [2][4] - The total market turnover was 1.95 trillion yuan, marking a slight increase of 57 billion yuan from the previous trading day, but it has been below 2 trillion yuan for two consecutive days [2][4] - A total of 602 stocks rose, while 4,783 stocks fell, indicating a significant market downturn [2] Sector Performance - The sectors leading the decline included power equipment, electronics, and machinery, with respective drops of 4.99%, 4.17%, and 3.69% [3][5] - Defensive sectors such as banking, coal, and public utilities showed relative strength, with the banking sector seeing stocks like Xiamen Bank and Qingdao Bank rising over 2% [3][5] - The technology growth sector faced significant selling pressure, with notable declines in electronic, media, and automotive industries, which fell by 7.14%, 6.27%, and 5.99% respectively [5] Capital Flow - The market has shown signs of style rotation, with dividend-paying sectors gaining strength while technology growth stocks have been under pressure [5][8] - Main capital outflows were observed, with over 790 billion yuan leaving the market on October 17 alone, and a total of 5 consecutive days of net outflows [5][7] - The A-share market's total market capitalization decreased by 2.56 trillion yuan to 113.02 trillion yuan as of October 17 [7] Market Sentiment and Future Outlook - Analysts attribute the market's adjustment to a combination of external shocks, internal concerns, and technical factors, with global market conditions, particularly in the U.S., impacting investor sentiment [4][8] - Despite short-term volatility, the core drivers of the market remain unchanged, with expectations of continued favorable liquidity trends [8] - The upcoming disclosure of Q3 earnings reports is anticipated to create opportunities for valuation adjustments and structural rebalancing in the market [8]