流感高发
Search documents
关注流感高发带来的呼吸系统用药需求增长
Xiangcai Securities· 2025-11-23 13:42
Investment Rating - The industry maintains an "Overweight" rating, suggesting a positive outlook for investment opportunities in the sector [5]. Core Insights - The demand for respiratory medications is expected to rise due to the increase in flu cases, with a reported 955 flu-like illness outbreaks, marking a 53.8% increase from the previous week [4]. - The market performance of the Traditional Chinese Medicine (TCM) sector showed a decline of 6.46% last week, ranking second among secondary pharmaceutical sectors [1]. - The TCM sector's Price-to-Earnings (PE) ratio (ttm) is 27.36X, down by 1.89X week-on-week, while the Price-to-Book (PB) ratio (lf) is 2.31X, down by 0.16X [2]. Market Performance - The TCM sector reported a closing index of 6419.16 points, down 6.46% for the week, while the overall pharmaceutical sector index fell by 6.88% [1][16]. - Among companies, *ST Changyao, Weikang Pharmaceutical, Jiangzhong Pharmaceutical, Yunnan Baiyao, and Dong'e Ejiao showed better performance, while Te Yi Pharmaceutical, Panlong Pharmaceutical, Zhendong Pharmaceutical, Yiling Pharmaceutical, and Enwei Pharmaceutical lagged [1]. Valuation Metrics - The TCM sector's PE ratio is at the 28.94% percentile since 2013, while the PB ratio is at the 5.93% percentile, indicating relatively low valuation compared to historical data [2]. Supply Chain Insights - The market for TCM raw materials is currently weak, with a price index of 224.73 points, reflecting a 0.3% decrease due to oversupply and inventory buildup [3]. Investment Recommendations - Three main investment themes are highlighted: 1. Price governance focusing on competitive advantages and innovation capabilities [5]. 2. Consumption recovery driven by macroeconomic improvement and aging population [5]. 3. State-owned enterprise reform, which is expected to enhance efficiency and performance [5]. Target Companies - Recommended companies include Zhaoli Pharmaceutical and Yiling Pharmaceutical, with a focus on those with strong R&D capabilities and unique products [9].