Core Insights - PikoShow, a short video app by ByteDance targeting the Japanese market, has significantly reduced its content investment and downloads have plummeted since early September [1][4]. Group 1: Market Performance - PikoShow's daily content investment dropped from approximately 400 pieces to just 15 since September 5, indicating a near halt in investment [1]. - The app's estimated download volume in Japan has shown a downward trend, with downloads falling to just a few dozen after September 5 [1]. - PikoShow's ranking in the App Store for free entertainment applications in Japan fell from 85th to 478th by September 8, eventually dropping out of the top 500 [3]. Group 2: Market Maturity - The Japanese short video market is still in its early stages, with local companies not fully adapting to the short video model, leading to higher production costs [4]. - A decline in demand for short video content from Chinese companies is expected starting May 2025, primarily due to a lack of new hit works to support market confidence [4]. Group 3: Product Fit - PikoShow's content primarily consists of dubbed domestic short videos, with no new short films introduced since mid-2024, potentially causing viewer fatigue [5]. - In contrast, competing apps like NetShort, DramaBox, and DramaWave focus on popular themes such as "comeback" and "family emotions," while PikoShow has mainly offered "urban emotional" content, which may not align with Japanese user preferences [5]. Group 4: Competitive Landscape - Another ByteDance app, Melolo, has maintained a strong performance with consistent content investment and stable download rates, indicating a more favorable market reception [6]. - Melolo has introduced a high proportion of new short films, with 48.9% of its 636 short films launched in the last 30 days being new [6]. Group 5: Industry Outlook - The cessation of PikoShow's investment reflects a broader trend in the overseas short video market entering a phase of elimination, necessitating companies to adapt strategies in response to market dynamics [6]. - Despite challenges, the overseas short video market still holds significant growth potential, although entry barriers are increasing [6].