Workflow
海外流动性回流
icon
Search documents
美联储降息倒计时!A股集体上涨 港股飙升
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-17 16:11
Market Performance - The three major A-share indices collectively rose on Wednesday, with the Shanghai Composite Index up 0.37% closing at 3876.34 points, the Shenzhen Component Index up 1.16% closing at 13215.46 points, and the ChiNext Index up 1.95% closing at 3147.35 points [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 23,767 billion yuan, a slight increase of 353 billion yuan compared to Tuesday [1] - Over 2,500 stocks rose, with 80 stocks hitting the daily limit [1] Hong Kong Market Dynamics - The Hong Kong stock market has shown signs of significant upward momentum, particularly following the increasing expectations of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut [1] - Despite lagging behind other major global capital markets this year, the Hong Kong market is now exhibiting a trend of catching up with A-shares [1] - The anticipated Federal Reserve rate cut is expected to lead to a return of overseas liquidity, presenting new opportunities for Chinese assets [1] Capital Flow and Investment Opportunities - Southbound capital has consistently net flowed into the Hong Kong market this year, providing strong financial support [1] - The enhanced expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut are prompting global capital to reallocate assets, with the undervaluation of Hong Kong stocks attracting international capital [1] - The combined force of domestic and foreign capital is a significant driver of the recent rise in the Hong Kong market [1] Investment Focus Areas - Investors should closely monitor two core variables: the specific progress of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts and the subsequent domestic policy responses [2] - Growth sectors such as biotechnology and technology hardware may offer higher elasticity due to liquidity easing and increased risk appetite [2] - Local dividend sectors benefiting from Hong Kong's interest rate cuts, along with sectors closely tied to China's economic recovery, such as consumption and infrastructure, are also expected to present investment opportunities [2] Market Trends and Future Outlook - The market still has potential for further upward movement as long as the 5-day moving average remains intact [2] - Trading volume is crucial for the strength of future market performance; recent trading volumes have not yet reached the 24 trillion yuan level needed to support continuous index rises [2] - The market is maintaining a healthy rotation of hot sectors, with robotics, semiconductors, AI computing power, and batteries showing repeated activity [2]