Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content 2. Core View of the Report - The current sanctions have little impact on the European shipping routes, which are in the regular year - end price - holding stage. The first round of price - holding in late October to stop the price decline has shown initial results, and it has entered the second round in early November. There will be multiple rounds of price - holding in the next two months, so the seasonal expectations are in advance. The report suggests a wait - and - see strategy as the short - term peak - season price increase cannot be disproven, and the market is in a relatively strong and volatile state. Future attention should be paid to Sino - US relations, end - of - month loading conditions, and November's empty - sailing situation [6][7] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Shipping Derivatives Data - **China Export Container Freight Rates**: The SCFI - US West index increased by 6.27%, SCFI - US East by 7.11%, SCFI - Northwest Europe by 11.21%, SCFI - Mediterranean by 8.25%, while the comprehensive index SCFI decreased by 1.60%, and SCFIS - US West decreased by 100.00% (the reason for this extreme decrease needs further investigation). The SCFIS - Northwest Europe decreased by 1.43% [3] - **Contract Data**: For contracts such as EC2506, EC5602, etc., the price change rates range from - 0.06% to 1.59%. Regarding the contract positions, for example, EC2606's position increased from 1399 to 1402, while EC2410's position decreased from 5583 to 4818. The month - to - month spreads like 10 - 12, 12 - 2, and 12 - 4 also have corresponding changes [3][4] Market News and Observations - US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent reached a "very substantial framework agreement" with Chinese Vice - Premier He Lifeng, which will avoid 100% US tariffs on Chinese products and extend China's rare - earth export controls [5] - US President Donald Trump is confident in reaching an agreement with Chinese leaders after the preliminary consensus reached in the Sino - US high - level economic officials' trade consultations [5] - Shipping companies like CMA CGM, Maersk, and MSC are re - flagging some ships to India, indicating the strong future growth potential of the Indian market and the effectiveness of India's maritime development strategy, in contrast to the relatively weak results of the US maritime revitalization in 2025 [5] - The Suez Canal Authority expects its 2026 revenue to reach about $8 billion, up from the current approximately $4 billion [5] - The US and Vietnam have reached an agreement on a "reciprocal, fair, and balanced trade framework agreement" to strengthen bilateral economic relations [5] EC Market - **Market Condition**: The market is in a volatile state. The spot prices vary in late October and early November. In late October, prices range from 1350 to 2600, and in early November, they range from 1350 to 2800 [6] - **Logic**: Sanctions have little impact on the European routes. The routes are in the year - end price - holding stage, with the first round of price - holding in late October showing initial results and entering the second round in early November [6] - **Strategy**: The recommended strategy is to wait and see, as the short - term peak - season price increase cannot be disproven, and the market is in a relatively strong and volatile state [7]