Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" outlook on the defense and military industry, indicating an expectation of strong performance relative to the overall market [3][23]. Core Insights - The report anticipates accelerated task deliveries in Q4, leading to improved performance compared to previous quarters. The upcoming orders during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period are expected to be a catalyst for investment [3]. - Geopolitical uncertainties are driving increased demand for consumable military equipment and military trade, presenting significant investment opportunities. The global military trade market has shown a notable expansion in potential demand for Chinese military equipment, particularly in the Middle East and Asia [3]. - The report suggests a focus on new main battle equipment, consumable weapons, military trade, and military intelligence as key investment areas [3]. - The military industry is entering a new cycle of quality improvement and growth, as outlined in the "14th Five-Year Plan" [3]. - The report highlights a significant recovery in performance expected in Q4, with military orders experiencing a pulse-like growth since Q1 of this year [3]. Market Review - Last week, the Shenwan Defense and Military Industry Index rose by 2.85%, while the CSI Military Leaders Index increased by 1.52%. In comparison, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 1.4%, and the CSI 300 Index increased by 1.64%. The Shenwan Defense and Military Industry Index underperformed the ChiNext Index but outperformed the CSI 300 and Shanghai Composite Index [4][10]. - The average increase in the CSI Civil-Military Integration Index was 4.97%, indicating strong performance in this segment [4]. - The top five performing stocks in the defense and military sector last week were: - Saiwei Electronics (44.85%) - TeFa Information (34.07%) - Leike Defense (32.3%) - Aerospace Power (32.22%) - Zhongtian Rocket (21.6%) [10]. - Conversely, the bottom five performing stocks were: - Beihua Co. (-11.59%) - Guorui Technology (-4.84%) - Yaxing Anchor Chain (-3.56%) - Chenxi Aviation (-3.2%) - Aileda (-2.71%) [11]. Valuation Changes - The current PE-TTM for the Shenwan Military Industry Index is 77.60, placing it in the upper range historically, with a valuation percentile of 65.76% since January 2014 and 92.45% since January 2019. The aerospace and aviation equipment sectors are noted to be at relatively high valuation levels since 2020 [12][16].