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消费和投资
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消费和投资不是拔河比赛
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-10 07:17
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of both consumption and investment in stabilizing China's economic growth, suggesting that macroeconomic policies should focus on expanding domestic demand through both avenues [2][4][8]. Group 1: Consumption - The current economic challenges are primarily on the demand side, necessitating a continuous expansion of domestic demand, with a particular focus on enhancing consumption [2][3]. - The recent Golden Week holiday demonstrated a strong consumer willingness, indicating that there is potential for further consumption growth that needs to be tapped into [2][3]. - Service consumption is highlighted as a key area for growth, directly impacting employment and supporting the overall consumption market [6][7]. - The need for diversified consumption scenarios is stressed, with an emphasis on creating suitable environments for different income groups to stimulate consumption [6][7]. Group 2: Investment - Investment growth is under scrutiny, particularly due to the drag from real estate, which reflects the pains of economic structural transformation [3][4]. - New emerging industries are identified as bright spots for investment, with a call for patience in the transformation and realization of these investments [3][4]. - The "14th Five-Year Plan" is viewed as an investment checklist, with significant opportunities embedded in its various tasks and chapters, urging stakeholders to pay attention to investment opportunities [3][4]. Group 3: Policy Recommendations - The article advocates for a balanced approach in macroeconomic policy, where both consumption and investment are prioritized simultaneously rather than in isolation [4][5]. - It suggests that direct subsidies for consumption, while effective in some contexts, may face challenges in implementation in China due to its large population and diverse needs [5][6]. - The importance of stabilizing and increasing income, as well as managing expectations for future income, is highlighted as crucial for boosting consumption [8][9]. Group 4: International Perspective - The article discusses the need for China to enhance its narrative in the international market, particularly in light of potential declines in overseas orders, emphasizing the importance of creating jobs and opportunities abroad [8][9][10]. - It notes that China's economic growth can also benefit other countries, suggesting a mutual advantage in international trade and investment [9][10].