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中美攻守易形?8月出现分水岭,特朗普自食苦果,内部乱成一锅粥
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-10 09:23
Group 1 - China's foreign trade data in August indicates a shift in trade dynamics, with exports to the EU and ASEAN increasing while exports to the US dropped by 13.5% [3][4] - China's strategy to counter US tariffs includes shifting focus from exports to domestic sales, upgrading supply chains, and expanding the Belt and Road Initiative, enhancing its trade resilience [4][6] - The International Monetary Fund acknowledges China's economic adaptability, noting its ability to maintain trade growth despite global demand weakness, highlighting a shift towards high-value exports driven by technology and scale [6][15] Group 2 - The US faces internal turmoil with rising inflation at 4.2% in August, leading to conflicts between the White House and the Federal Reserve, reflecting deeper institutional fractures [6][8] - The US government's employment data has been questioned, leading to a loss of confidence in statistical integrity, which impacts market perceptions and economic planning [8][10] - The political environment in the US is characterized by frequent changes in key positions, with 23 significant roles changing hands in the first half of 2025, indicating instability in governance [10][12] Group 3 - The governance issues in the US stem from a belief in the "deep state" theory, resulting in the removal of professional officials and leaving loyalty-driven personnel, which undermines policy execution and accountability [12][14] - The contrasting governance models of China and the US are highlighted, with China demonstrating stability and adaptability while the US struggles with internal conflicts and policy inconsistencies [15][17] - The upcoming midterm elections in the US will serve as a critical indicator of future policy directions, with potential implications for political stability and economic confidence [17]