来源：每日经济新闻 12月19日，日本央行将政策利率上调0.25个百分点至0.75%，创下自1995年9月以来的最高水平，正式宣 告了超宽松货币政策时代走向终结。这一决策标志着日本货币政策的重大转向，旨在打破长期低利率、 低通胀、低增长的循环。 加息的背后，是日本通胀连续44个月高于2%的央行目标，以及日元持续疲软带来的输入性通胀压力。 然而，市场更深层次的忧虑，潜藏于日本内部的巨大政策"错配"之中：一边是央行试图通过加息抑制通 胀，另一边却是高市早苗内阁抛出的高达18.3万亿日元的财政刺激计划。 中国人民大学重阳金融研究院研究员刘英在接受《每日经济新闻》记者（以下简称每经记者）采访时直 言，本次加息堪称"危险的一跃"。"紧货币"与"宽财政"的矛盾组合不仅可能削弱加息效果，更将直接推 高本已沉重的政府债务融资成本，加剧财政风险。 随着日本央行加息，全球资本市场也屏息以待。曾在全球市场掀起波澜的日元套息交易，其平仓风险再 度成为焦点。尽管有分析认为当前风险可控，但被称为"渡边太太"的日本本土投资者已提前行动，投机 性资金快速撤离，预示着全球流动性格局或将迎来深刻调整。 超宽松时代落幕：日本央行加息至0.75% ...

Market Analysis & Investment Strategy - The analysis suggests that domestic Chinese real estate may not be the optimal asset for decentralized individuals in the crypto space due to lower rental yields compared to potential returns from crypto assets [1] - The report highlights a global arbitrage opportunity, referencing the "渡边太太" concept where low-interest Japanese Yen is used to invest in higher-yield foreign assets, a strategy similar to some crypto investors [1] - The document points out that a 4% annual yield is easily achievable in the crypto space, while traditional RMB cash assets offer lower bank interest rates of less than 15% [1] Real Estate Market Dynamics - The analysis indicates that the Chinese real estate market is entering a phase of "housing is for living, not for speculation," while other global markets like Dubai are experiencing rapid growth [1] - The report mentions the ease for crypto investors to purchase properties in countries like Dubai using USDT, contrasting with the challenges faced by wealthy Chinese individuals [1]