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全球航运减排行动分歧加剧
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-20 16:22
Core Points - The International Maritime Organization (IMO) postponed the vote on the Net-Zero Framework, reflecting significant divisions among countries regarding the agreement [3][4][5] - The framework aims to establish legally binding emissions reduction targets for the shipping industry, which accounts for approximately 3% of global emissions [5][9] - The delay in the framework's approval may lead to prolonged uncertainty for shipowners and green fuel developers, with potential implementation not expected until around 2030 [4][6] Group 1: Framework Overview - The Net-Zero Framework is intended to be a comprehensive global emissions reduction scheme for the shipping industry, with interim targets of a 20% reduction by 2030 and 70% by 2040 compared to 2008 levels [9] - The framework's compliance mechanism includes incentives for ships that exceed emissions targets and penalties for those that do not meet them, creating a system of rewards and consequences [11][12] Group 2: Support and Opposition - The United States leads the opposition, arguing that the framework could increase global shipping costs by 10% and threatening retaliatory measures against supporting countries [5][6] - Supporters, including some developed nations and small island states, argue that unified global action is necessary to avoid fragmented regulations and to meet climate goals [7][8] - Countries like China have expressed concerns about the framework's fairness, advocating for a more equitable approach that considers varying national capacities [8] Group 3: Industry Impact - The shipping industry currently relies heavily on traditional fossil fuels, with 93.5% of fuel consumption coming from diesel, gasoline, and heavy fuel oil [13] - The transition to low-carbon fuels is underway, but significant technological advancements and incentives are needed to increase the adoption of alternative fuels like green methanol and ammonia [13][16] - The shipping sector will require a substantial increase in low-carbon fuel supply to meet the IMO's 2030 emissions reduction targets, estimated at 25 million tons of oil equivalent annually [16]