Summary of the Conference Call for 福莱股份 Company Overview - 福莱股份 is engaged in the production of active magnesium oxide, primarily for use in nickel extraction processes, and has established significant partnerships with companies like 格林美. Key Points Industry and Market Dynamics - 福莱股份 has entered into a strategic cooperation with 格林美, which involves switching all three of its production lines to use active magnesium oxide. This change is expected to enhance metal recovery rates and production efficiency while reducing nickel manufacturing costs by 10%-15% [2][3][5]. - The active magnesium oxide market is expanding, with interest from other Chinese enterprises such as 力勤, 青山, and 华友, indicating potential for future sales growth [2][4]. Production Capacity and Plans - The company currently has a production capacity of 110,000 tons, with plans to increase this to 170,000 tons after technical upgrades. Additionally, there are plans to add another 120,000 tons of capacity by June 2026 to meet the demands of 格林美 and other potential clients [2][4][7]. - 福莱股份 has a mining capacity of 1 million tons per year in Tibet, theoretically allowing for the production of 450,000 tons of magnesium oxide [7]. Financial Performance and Pricing - The price range for active magnesium oxide is approximately 4,500-5,000 RMB per ton in the Indonesian market and below 4,000 RMB per ton in Africa. The company enjoys a gross margin exceeding 40%-50% due to its own mining resources [3][9]. - Direct costs for transporting products to major cities like Wuhan or Shanghai are around 2,000 RMB per ton [10]. Strategic Partnerships and Agreements - The three-year supply agreement with 格林美 guarantees a minimum supply of 150,000 tons annually, which is crucial for the stability of their production lines [3][11]. - The company is also exploring partnerships with other nickel ore enterprises, with 青山 planning to start production in 2026 and 华友 expressing interest in long-term cooperation [8]. Challenges and Opportunities - The refractory materials business faces pricing pressures from domestic steel companies, but there is increasing demand in overseas markets, particularly in the U.S. where sales are expected to reach 15,000 tons in 2025 [3][16]. - The company is optimistic about the growth of its active magnesium oxide sales, with expectations of steady increases in the coming years due to new client acquisitions and existing client demand [6]. Future Outlook and Investment Plans - 福莱股份 plans to continue investing in new projects, with significant capital expenditure anticipated in 2025 and 2026. The company may consider financing options to support these investments [20]. - The company aims to balance its focus on domestic refractory materials, overseas market expansion, and new materials, particularly in high-efficiency sedimentation agents and hydrometallurgy processes [21]. Conclusion - 福莱股份 is well-positioned in the active magnesium oxide market, with strong partnerships and a clear growth strategy. The company is navigating challenges in the refractory materials sector while capitalizing on opportunities in new materials and international markets.

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [6]. Core Views - The demand for active magnesium oxide is expected to increase significantly, benefiting the domestic refractory materials sector amid the steel industry's "anti-involution" trend [4]. - The strategic agreement with Greenmeadow is projected to enhance the certainty of active magnesium oxide demand, with a forecasted net profit of 305 million, 547 million, and 759 million yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [4]. Summary by Sections Strategic Cooperation - The company has signed a supplementary agreement with Greenmeadow, expecting to supply 500,000 tons of low-cost core precipitant products by December 31, 2028 [1]. - The supply schedule for active magnesium oxide is estimated at 50,000 tons in 2025, 150,000 tons in 2026, and 150,000 tons in 2027 and 2028 [2]. Cost Reduction and Competitive Advantage - Active magnesium oxide can reduce the hydrometallurgical nickel smelting costs by 10%-15%, significantly improving the profitability and global competitiveness of Greenmeadow's nickel resource projects [3]. Industry Context - The domestic refractory materials business is expected to gradually recover as the steel industry improves profitability, following the central government's emphasis on regulating low-price competition and promoting the orderly exit of backward production capacity [4]. Financial Forecasts - The report projects revenues of 5.759 billion, 6.377 billion, and 6.943 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding net profits of 305 million, 547 million, and 759 million yuan [5][11]. - The earnings per share (EPS) are forecasted to be 0.30, 0.54, and 0.75 yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [5][11].