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房子明明已经过剩,开发商为何还在建房?温铁军一语道破真相
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-26 07:04
Core Viewpoint - The debate over whether there is an oversupply of housing in China continues, with significant existing residential stock that could accommodate around 6 billion people if each unit housed ten individuals, while at least 14 million new homes are built annually, indicating a substantial supply [1][3] Group 1: Reasons for Continued Construction by Developers - Developers are trapped in a debt crisis, compelling them to continue acquiring land and building new projects to maintain access to bank loans, as halting construction would jeopardize their financial viability [5][7] - Local governments rely heavily on land finance, which drives developers to continue land acquisition and construction to sustain local fiscal health and support public spending [7][9] - The presence of speculative investors, or "house flippers," who purchase properties not for residence or rental but as investment assets, keeps the market active despite the oversupply of housing [9][10] Group 2: Market Dynamics and Policy Implications - The current real estate market is largely speculative, necessitating effective measures to guide it back to a rational state focused on housing needs, such as the introduction of property taxes to increase holding costs [10] - Despite the apparent oversupply of existing housing, the continuous influx of new properties into the market raises questions about the underlying motivations of buyers, as highlighted by the economist's assertion that "those buying homes are not necessarily the ones living in them" [10]