焦炭行情分析
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基本面矛盾不足 预计焦炭期货维持震荡偏弱运行
Jin Tou Wang· 2026-01-09 06:04
目前来看,焦炭行情呈现震荡下行走势,盘面表现偏弱。对于焦炭后市行情将如何运行,相关机构观点 汇总如下: 光大期货分析称,供应方面,焦企整体生产水平相对持稳,个别焦企因利润不佳,有小幅限产现象,焦 企以积极出货为主。需求端,钢厂利润好转,高炉开工率有所回升,对焦炭刚需增加,少数低库存钢厂 积极补库,不过钢材淡季消费疲软,铁水产量增幅有限,预计短期焦炭盘面震荡运行。 国信期货表示,焦炭现货提降,焦企出现亏损,开工动能不足,焦炭日均产量下滑,供应收缩。需求方 面,节后钢厂适当复产,钢联数据显示上周铁水产量低位企稳且有小幅反弹。供需边际好转,下游按需 采购为主,基本面矛盾不足,盘面跟随原料波动,建议短线操作。 中辉期货指出,焦炭第四轮提降落地,市场对第五轮提降存分歧。多轮提降落地后,焦企陷入亏损状 态,但亏损程度不深,短期焦企生产积极性尚可,供应量环比略增。从需求来看,铁水产量环比增加, 但下游补库积极性一般,按需采购为主。短期市场情绪回落,预计维持震荡偏弱运行。 1月9日,国内期市煤炭板块多数飘绿。其中,焦炭期货主力合约开盘报1765.0元/吨,今日盘中低位震 荡运行;截至午间收盘,焦炭主力最高触及1773.0元, ...
下游拿货情绪有所改善 焦炭期货盘中高位震荡运行
Jin Tou Wang· 2026-01-07 06:00
1月7日,国内期市煤炭板块多数飘红。其中,焦炭期货主力合约开盘报1650.0元/吨,今日盘中高位震 荡运行;截至发稿,焦炭主力最高触及1758.0元,下方探低1646.0元,涨幅达6.73%附近。 目前来看,焦炭行情呈现震荡上行走势,盘面表现偏强。对于焦炭后市行情将如何运行,相关机构观点 汇总如下: 弘业期货(001236)表示,近期焦炭经历四轮降价,焦企利润有所承压,出现一定限产,产量有所下 降,而需求方面,钢厂利润有所恢复,年后钢厂高炉复产增加,对焦炭刚需有所增加,但由于库存相对 合理,维持按需采购,整体上维持低位震荡。 迈科期货分析称,供应端,焦炭第四轮提降落地,焦企利润将承压。上周焦企利润有所好转,焦炭产量 变化不大。需求端,在连续提降后钢厂利润有所好转,上周铁水产量变上升。短期五大材产量上升,但 淡季整体需求较差,铁水产量预计将难有明显上升。总体来看,需求短期好转,但中长期看驱动向下。 库存端,钢厂有所补库,库存环比上升,当前钢厂库存水平处于同期偏高水平,预计冬储补库空间有 限;焦企库存环比下滑。结论:震荡思路对待,注意控制风险,焦炭指数日内参考1680-1720。 东吴期货指出,下游近期拿货情绪有 ...
供需总体相对平衡 焦炭随后或转为震荡
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-08-06 07:12
Group 1 - The coal futures market in China has shown significant upward movement, particularly in coking coal, with the main contract opening at 1633.0 CNY/ton and reaching a high of 1668.0 CNY, reflecting an increase of approximately 2.51% [1] - Current market sentiment indicates a potential shift as institutions suggest that the coking coal market may enter a price reduction cycle in August, with recommendations for hedging and profit-taking on existing positions [1] - The overall supply and demand for coking coal remains relatively balanced, with production and inventory levels stable, although market sentiment is expected to cool down [1] Group 2 - Recent significant declines in coking coal and coke futures have not been mirrored in the spot market, which continues to show upward trends, indicating a lag in the spot market compared to futures [2] - The tight supply in the spot market driven by supply-demand dynamics suggests that there is still potential for price increases, and a phase of downward movement in futures may be coming to an end [2] - The market is anticipated to enter a phase of consolidation, awaiting further developments in the supply-demand relationship following potential price increases in the spot market [2]