Core Viewpoint - The coal market in China is experiencing a fundamental shift in supply and demand dynamics, leading to a long-term upward trend in coal prices despite short-term fluctuations [1]. Supply Side - The coal supply is contracting significantly due to government interventions aimed at reducing overproduction, with national production figures showing a decline from July to September [1]. - The total coal production for the year is expected to be around 4.75 billion tons, representing a year-on-year decrease of 30 to 50 million tons [1]. Demand Side - The total electricity consumption in China has rebounded to a growth rate of 4.6% in August and September, compared to only 2.5% in Q1, indicating a strong recovery in demand [1]. - Even during the typical demand off-season in September and October, demand has exceeded expectations, with daily consumption reaching the highest levels in the past five years [1]. Price Trends - As of November 7, 2025, the price of Q5500 thermal coal at Huanghua Port has risen to 818 yuan/ton, marking a 5.1% increase from the previous week [2]. - The price of coking coal at Jingtang Port has also increased to 1800 yuan/ton, reflecting a 3.4% rise [2]. Industry Review - The overall coal supply, including imports, is expected to remain stable but on a downward trend, while demand is showing significant improvement [2]. - The operating rate of coking enterprises is reported at 79.18%, indicating a slight increase in production activity [2]. Company Recommendations - The report continues to recommend key companies in the coal sector, including China Shenhua Energy, Shaanxi Coal and Chemical Industry, and China Coal Energy, among others [3].