煤电灵活性清洁化
Search documents
中国银河证券:我国能源结构持续优化 消纳、电价或迎向好趋势
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-10-31 01:29
Core Viewpoint - The report from China Galaxy Securities indicates that during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, the growth of new energy installations is expected to continue, with a focus on enhancing flexibility and cleanliness in coal power development [1][2]. New Energy Installations - The report anticipates that the average annual new energy installations will reach at least 180 million kilowatts during the "14th and 15th Five-Year Plans" [1]. - Factors such as improved flexibility in thermal power, ongoing grid construction, and the emergence of new models for green electricity consumption are expected to enhance the absorption of new energy [1]. - The report also notes a positive trend in electricity prices, driven by the implementation of regulatory measures and increasing demand for green electricity [1]. Coal Power Development - The main direction for coal power development during the "14th Five-Year Plan" is to enhance flexibility and cleanliness, transitioning to a revenue model that combines ignition price difference, adjustment value, and capacity value [2]. - The report highlights the potential for low-carbon transformation technologies in coal power, including biomass co-firing and carbon capture, utilization, and storage (CCUS) [2]. Hydropower Installations - The report suggests that hydropower installations will continue to grow, particularly in specific river basins, and emphasizes the long-term investment value of hydropower due to its stable profitability and strong cash flow [3]. - The report identifies key companies in the hydropower sector for investment consideration [3]. Nuclear Power Growth - The report indicates significant growth potential in nuclear power installations, with a focus on the development of hydrogen energy and nuclear fusion as future economic growth points [4]. - The report notes that the domestic market has seen a consistent approval of new nuclear power units, and the market pricing mechanism is becoming more rational [4]. Renewable Energy in Non-Electric Fields - The report highlights the expected growth in green hydrogen, ammonia, and biofuels during the "14th Five-Year Plan," driven by renewable energy consumption targets and external demand from markets like the EU [6]. - Companies involved in these sectors are recommended for investment consideration [6].