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PPI环比年内首次上涨 扩内需等政策持续显效
Zhong Guo Jing Ji Wang· 2025-11-10 00:39
Group 1: CPI Analysis - In October, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by 0.2% month-on-month and year-on-year, marking a shift from a decline of 0.3% in the previous month [2][3] - Service prices rose by 0.2%, driven by increased travel demand during the National Day and Mid-Autumn Festival, with hotel accommodation, flight tickets, and tourism prices rising by 8.6%, 4.5%, and 2.5% respectively [2][3] - Core CPI, excluding food and energy, rose by 1.2% year-on-year, marking the highest increase since March 2024 and reflecting a steady recovery in domestic consumption, particularly in services [2][3] Group 2: PPI Analysis - The Producer Price Index (PPI) saw a month-on-month increase of 0.1% in October, the first rise of the year, influenced by improved supply-demand relationships in certain industries [4][5] - Year-on-year, PPI decreased by 2.1%, but the decline narrowed by 0.2 percentage points compared to the previous month, indicating a gradual recovery in key industries [5][6] - Prices in the coal mining and washing industry, photovoltaic equipment manufacturing, and integrated circuit manufacturing have shown upward trends, while international commodity prices have created a mixed impact on domestic prices [4][5] Group 3: Economic Outlook - Experts suggest that the improvement in price data reflects a comprehensive enhancement in the economic cycle and internal momentum, indicating a balanced supply-demand relationship [6][7] - The overall price level is expected to rise moderately, supported by macroeconomic policies and a recovery in market confidence, with CPI anticipated to show a low but steady increase [7] - The construction of a modern industrial system and the expansion of market demand are expected to drive price increases in related industries, despite ongoing pressures from the real estate market [7]