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特斯拉的2026,一场关乎存亡的空前豪赌
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-01-31 10:14
Core Insights - Tesla's 2025 financial report reveals a significant decline in revenue and profit, marking the first annual revenue drop in the company's history, with total revenue at $94.827 billion, down 3% year-over-year, and net profit plummeting 46% [2][5] - Despite a decrease in global vehicle deliveries by 8.6% to 1.636 million units, Tesla's stock showed mixed reactions, initially dropping 3.45% but later rebounding by 3.32% [2][5] - CEO Elon Musk announced a record capital expenditure exceeding $20 billion for 2026, aimed at AI chips, supercomputing clusters, robot production lines, and energy facilities [9][10] Financial Performance - Tesla's automotive business revenue fell to $69.526 billion, a 10% decrease, with significant declines in major markets: over 10% in the U.S., 39% in Europe, and 4.8% in China [5][6] - Energy business revenue reached $12.8 billion, a 26.6% increase, marking a record for five consecutive quarters [7] Business Transformation - Tesla is transitioning into a "physical AI company," leveraging data from its vehicles to enhance AI algorithms and improve autonomous driving capabilities [14][15] - The company aims to produce the humanoid robot Optimus by the end of 2026, with a planned annual production capacity of 1 million units [16][17] Market Perception - Investor sentiment is divided, with traditional automotive valuation metrics indicating Tesla's high P/E ratio of 418, while AI optimists argue for a valuation based on data advantages and algorithmic efficiency [21][22] - A significant portion of analysts (30 out of 50) recommend holding or selling Tesla stock, reflecting cautious attitudes towards the company's transformation prospects [24] Strategic Outlook - Tesla's strategy involves nurturing emerging businesses while the core automotive business is still viable, creating synergies between automotive, energy, and AI sectors [26] - The success of Tesla's paradigm shift hinges on the speed and efficiency of commercializing its AI technology [27]