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中国巨石(600176):盈利延续修复,复价成果进一步夯实
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities· 2025-10-23 08:44
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the report on China Jushi (600176) is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The report highlights that the company's earnings continue to recover, with further consolidation of price recovery results. The performance in the third quarter of 2025 aligns with expectations, showing significant year-on-year growth in both revenue and net profit [7] - The glass fiber industry experienced a price decline in Q3 2025, but China Jushi is expected to outperform the industry due to its product structure advantages. The company is likely to see a smaller decline in profit per ton compared to the industry average [7] - The report anticipates further price increases in Q4 2025, supported by industry initiatives to combat "involution" competition, which may enhance profitability for leading companies like China Jushi [7] - The company is progressing with technological upgrades to enhance cost advantages, with a significant investment planned to expand production capacity [7] - China Jushi is accelerating its layout in specialty fabrics, driven by high demand in the PCB sector, positioning itself for potential breakthroughs in this area [7] - The earnings forecast for 2025-2027 indicates a steady increase in net profit, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios suggesting a favorable valuation [7] Financial Data Summary - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved total revenue of 139.04 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 19.5%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 25.68 billion yuan, up 67.5% year-on-year [7] - The projected total revenue for 2025 is 181.78 billion yuan, with a net profit forecast of 33.49 billion yuan, reflecting a growth rate of 37.0% [6][8] - The company's gross margin is expected to improve from 25.0% in 2024 to 34.1% by 2027, indicating enhanced profitability [6]