国际复材 20251230 摘要 AI 电子布需求激增，谷歌等公司大量应用二代布，预计 2026 年需求不 低于 5,000 万米，2027 年可能达到 1.几亿米，国际复材积极扩产应对 市场需求。 国际复材作为玻纤龙头，新增年化产能 6,000 万米生产线，处于全球领 先地位，逐步进入一代布和二代布的批量供给阶段，并计划新增约 50 个干锅，使二代布产能翻倍。 公司已为规划项目筹划资源匹配，包括新增订购资金及贵金属采购，目 前贵金属储备充足，并已订购 500 多台织布机，将于 2026 年下半年逐 步交货。 干锅全部转向生产二代布后，每月供给量可达数十万米，客户结构从以 生益科技为主扩展到红河、台光等企业，生益科技仍是当前最紧迫需求 方之一。 二代布干锅法良率约为拉丝环节 70%-80%，整体拉通计算 50%- 60%。公司交付能力尚未完全满足客户需求，如生益科技预计 2026 年 月需求量将达 60-100 吨。 Q&A 近期玻纤行业的变化和趋势如何？ 近期玻纤行业呈现出积极变化，特别是在 AI 电子部件的升级趋势方面。二代布 被认为是 2026 年缺口最大的品种，主要用于 NV 的 GB300 Swit ...

截至发稿，国际复材市值为267亿元。 每经头条（nbdtoutiao）——直击茅台经销商大会：2000多人周末齐聚！重大变革公布：涉及茅台酒价 格、分销等，董事长陈华：经销商不能再"躺着赚钱" （记者 王晓波） 每经AI快讯，国际复材（SZ 301526，收盘价：7.08元）12月29日晚间发布公告称，公司第三届第十一 次董事会会议于2025年12月29日在公司会议室以现场结合通讯的方式召开。会议审议了《关于组织机构 调整的议案》等文件。 2024年1至12月份，国际复材的营业收入构成为：玻纤行业占比100.0%。 ...

证券代码：301526 证券简称：国际复材 重庆国际复合材料股份有限公司 投资者关系活动记录表 编号：2025-010 投资者关系活动 类别 ☑ 特定对象调研 □分析师会议 □媒体采访 □新闻发布会 □现场参观 □业绩说明会 □路演活动 □其他 (请文字说明其他活动内容) 参与单位名称及 人员姓名 华福证券股份有限公司：魏征宇 天风证券股份有限公司：鲍荣富 长江证券股份有限公司：董超 国金证券股份有限公司：赵铭 申万凌信基金公司：刘毅男 华源大制造基金公司：林高凡 时间 2025 年 12 月 8 日-9 日 地点 公司会议室 上市公司接待人 员姓名 副总经理、董事会秘书：黄敦霞 财务部、运营管理部、董事会办公室相关人员 投资者关系活动 主要内容介绍 现场交流环节主要内容如下： 近期机构调研中公司回答过的问题，本次活动披露文件中 未做重复介绍。 1.基于目前的经营情况，公司是否还有新的增产规划？ 公司目前玻纤纱年产能约为 125 万吨。根据已披露的规 划，预计将于年内完成"8.5 万吨电子级玻璃纤维生产线设备更 新及数智化提质增效项目"的建设与投产（详见公司 2024-044 号公告）。项目投产后，将进一步提 ...

Group 1: Fixed Income Market Insights - The report highlights the significant adjustment in the long-term bond market, indicating a supply-demand imbalance due to increased government bond issuance, which rose from 4.77 trillion in 2018 to approximately 13.35 trillion by December 2025 [6][7] - It is suggested that the future demand for ultra-long bonds may weaken, particularly from insurance funds, as the issuance of long-term bonds has surged, leading to increased pressure on banks' investment durations [7][8] - The report recommends addressing the supply-demand imbalance by controlling the issuance of government bonds and encouraging the central bank to purchase ultra-long bonds to alleviate market pressures [8][9] Group 2: China Jushi Co., Ltd. Insights - The report discusses the confidence of major shareholders in China Jushi Co., Ltd., with plans for significant share buybacks totaling between 6.75 billion and 11 billion RMB, reflecting a strong belief in the company's long-term growth potential [12][13] - China Jushi is recognized as a leading global manufacturer in the fiberglass industry, with a production capacity of nearly 3 million tons of fiberglass yarn and a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 9.72% in revenue from 2014 to 2024 [13][14] - The company is entering the high-end electronic fabric market, which is expected to benefit from increased demand driven by advancements in computing power, positioning it for substantial growth in this sector [13][14]

每经AI快讯，中国巨石（SH 600176，收盘价：14.91元）11月28日晚间发布公告称，基于对公司未来发 展前景的坚定信心及中长期投资价值的认可，为增强投资者对公司的投资信心，促进公司持续、稳定、 健康发展，振石集团计划自本公告披露之日起12个月，以自有及专项贷款资金增持公司股份，增持总金 额不低于人民币5.5亿元，不超过人民币11亿元，本次增持计划不设置固定价格、价格区间，振石集团 将基于对公司股票价值的合理判断，并根据公司股票价格波动情况及资本市场整体趋势，择机逐步实施 增持计划。截至本公告披露日，振石集团共计持有公司股票约6.76亿股，占公司总股本比例为16.88%。 2025年1至6月份，中国巨石的营业收入构成为：玻纤纱及制品占比97.41%，其他业务占比1.63%，风电 占比0.96%。 每经头条（nbdtoutiao）——已有75人遇难，1名死者为消防员，还有10名消防员受伤！记者现场直击香 港大埔火灾：燃烧的宏福苑，五级大火的五个谜团 （记者 张明双） 截至发稿，中国巨石市值为597亿元。 ...

Core Viewpoint - Zhejiang Zhenstone New Materials Co., Ltd. (referred to as "Zhenstone") is facing multiple risks as it pursues an IPO, including declining revenue, significant reliance on a single supplier, high debt levels, and challenges in the glass fiber industry due to overcapacity and international trade protectionism [1][8]. Group 1: Supply Chain Dependency - Zhenstone's supply chain is heavily reliant on China Jushi, with over 82% of its procurement coming from its top five suppliers, and China Jushi alone accounting for over 62% of its operating costs [2]. - The shared control by the Zhang family raises concerns about pricing fairness, as China Jushi has significant price-setting power in the glass fiber industry [2]. - Any changes in the relationship with China Jushi could lead to severe operational risks for Zhenstone, including increased costs and supply shortages [2]. Group 2: Industry Cycle and Expansion Challenges - Zhenstone's expansion plans are challenged by an oversupply in the glass fiber market, with an expected additional capacity of 500,000 tons by May 2025, while current production capacity exceeds 7.8 million tons [3]. - The company's revenue has declined from 5.267 billion yuan in 2022 to an estimated 4.439 billion yuan in 2024, indicating a downward trend in sales prices amid increasing competition [3][4]. - The strategy of expanding during a downturn poses risks, including potential depreciation costs and the inability to absorb new capacity if a price war ensues [4]. Group 3: Financial Vulnerability - Zhenstone's financial statements reveal a high debt ratio, consistently above 67%, with a ratio of 69.27% as of June 2025, indicating significant short-term repayment pressure [5]. - The company has reported negative cash flows from operating activities in the first two years of the reporting period, highlighting a struggle to convert profits into cash [5]. - High accounts receivable, amounting to 2.653 billion yuan (40.51% of revenue), poses additional risks, particularly if customer payment delays occur [5]. Group 4: Trade Protection and International Operations - Zhenstone's international business faces challenges from rising global trade barriers, with a consistent overseas revenue share of over 15% [6]. - Recent anti-dumping duties imposed by the EU and India on Chinese glass fiber products complicate Zhenstone's market expansion efforts [6]. - Plans to establish a production base in Spain may be hindered by geopolitical tensions and fluctuating trade policies, raising concerns about profitability in foreign markets [6]. Group 5: Internal Control and Governance Issues - Zhenstone has a history of financial irregularities, including improper lending and related party transactions, which raises concerns about its internal control systems [7]. - The absolute control by the Zhang family over the company could lead to conflicts of interest and potential harm to minority shareholders [7]. - The company also faces risks related to employee benefits, which could impact operational stability and innovation capabilities [7]. Group 6: Overall Risk Assessment - The interplay of various risks, including supply chain dependency, financial instability, and external market pressures, creates a complex environment for Zhenstone's IPO journey [8]. - The company's ability to mitigate these risks and improve its operational and financial health will be crucial for its long-term sustainability [8].

Core Viewpoint - The company reported strong financial performance in Q3 2025, with significant year-on-year growth in revenue and net profit, driven by increased production capacity and sales of fiberglass products [1][2]. Financial Performance - For the first nine months of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 2.36 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 24.0%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 260 million yuan, up 27.2% [1][2]. - In Q3 2025, revenue reached 900 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 33.1%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 80 million yuan, a 4.2% increase [1][2]. - The gross margin for the first nine months was 23.7%, up 0.3 percentage points year-on-year, but Q3 gross margin was 22.3%, down 2.2 percentage points year-on-year due to a slight decline in raw yarn prices [2]. Cost and Cash Flow - The company's expense ratio for the first three quarters was 11.2%, down 1.7 percentage points year-on-year, with a notable decrease in financial expense ratio due to increased foreign exchange gains [3]. - Operating cash flow for the first three quarters was 210 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 35.2%, attributed to increased bank deposits recovery and sales collections [3]. Market Outlook - Industry inventory of fiberglass has decreased for two consecutive months, indicating a potential recovery in market demand, with expectations for further sales growth in Q4 2025 [3]. - The company anticipates continued growth in sales volume, particularly in high-end products like wind power yarns, as new production capacity ramps up [3]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company maintains its profit forecast, projecting net profits of 400 million yuan, 600 million yuan, and 760 million yuan for 2025-2027 [4]. - The target price is set at 21.56 yuan, with a valuation of 22x PE for 2025, reflecting adjustments due to product structure and short-term margin pressures [4].

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Records Industry Overview Green Low-Carbon Industry - The green low-carbon industry is expected to grow significantly over the next five years due to policy support and market demand. The implementation of debt clearance policies will improve the financial conditions of environmental companies, while state-owned asset management reforms will enhance economic efficiency, creating investment opportunities for environmental enterprises [1][3]. Power Industry - The development trend in the power industry is focused on clean energy, with wind and solar power as key areas. The construction of new power systems and the absorption of green electricity are critical. The demand for green fuels, such as bio-jet fuel, is substantial, driven by EU mandates for blending ratios, which will promote market growth [1][6]. Building Materials Sector - Leading companies in the building materials sector are achieving growth through shifts in downstream demand, product structure adjustments, and supply-side changes. For instance, Huaxin Cement has seen both volume and price increases in overseas markets, with a net profit margin significantly higher than domestic levels [1][8]. Fiberglass Industry - China Jushi, a leader in the fiberglass industry, has achieved revenue and performance growth through product structure adjustments and growth in its electronics division, benefiting from increased demand for copper-clad laminates and PCBs [1][13]. Consumer Building Materials - Sankeshu has improved profitability and cash flow through channel reforms. In the industrial coatings sector, Meijia Xincai has benefited from growth in wind power coatings and is expanding into ship coatings and overseas markets, indicating potential future growth [1][14][15]. Silver Dragon Co. - Silver Dragon Co. is experiencing high growth due to demand for high-strength products and R&D investments, with expectations for continued performance growth in the coming years [1][16]. Real Estate Market Insights Market Recovery - The real estate market is showing signs of a moderate structural recovery, with improvements in sales, construction starts, and completions in September. Attention is recommended on leading national developers like China Merchants Shekou and Poly Group, as well as park-type real estate developers, which are showing early-cycle recovery signs [2][17][21]. Investment Opportunities - In the current market environment, there are multiple investment opportunities for environmental companies, including the improvement of balance sheets due to debt clearance policies and accelerated asset securitization processes. High-dividend utility assets remain attractive in a liquid market [4]. Future Trends - The future of the real estate market is influenced by various factors, including the recovery of demand post-Golden Week, with significant improvements in sales, construction starts, and completions observed in September. The overall sales situation for the fourth quarter is expected to exceed expectations [20]. Recommendations - For the fourth quarter, it is advisable to focus on leading national developers, especially state-owned enterprises, which have shown early-cycle recovery signs after the last market adjustment. Additionally, attention should be given to park-type real estate developers that have performed well during previous uptrends [21].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the report on China Jushi (600176) is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The report highlights that the company's earnings continue to recover, with further consolidation of price recovery results. The performance in the third quarter of 2025 aligns with expectations, showing significant year-on-year growth in both revenue and net profit [7] - The glass fiber industry experienced a price decline in Q3 2025, but China Jushi is expected to outperform the industry due to its product structure advantages. The company is likely to see a smaller decline in profit per ton compared to the industry average [7] - The report anticipates further price increases in Q4 2025, supported by industry initiatives to combat "involution" competition, which may enhance profitability for leading companies like China Jushi [7] - The company is progressing with technological upgrades to enhance cost advantages, with a significant investment planned to expand production capacity [7] - China Jushi is accelerating its layout in specialty fabrics, driven by high demand in the PCB sector, positioning itself for potential breakthroughs in this area [7] - The earnings forecast for 2025-2027 indicates a steady increase in net profit, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios suggesting a favorable valuation [7] Financial Data Summary - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved total revenue of 139.04 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 19.5%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 25.68 billion yuan, up 67.5% year-on-year [7] - The projected total revenue for 2025 is 181.78 billion yuan, with a net profit forecast of 33.49 billion yuan, reflecting a growth rate of 37.0% [6][8] - The company's gross margin is expected to improve from 25.0% in 2024 to 34.1% by 2027, indicating enhanced profitability [6]

Core Viewpoint - The company's Q3 2025 performance met expectations, with significant year-on-year growth in revenue and net profit, indicating strong operational resilience and potential for future profitability [1][2]. Financial Performance - Q3 2025 revenue increased by 23% year-on-year to 4.795 billion yuan; net profit attributable to shareholders rose by 54% to 880 million yuan; and non-recurring net profit increased by 73% to 910 million yuan, despite a non-recurring loss of 30.19 million yuan due to asset disposals [1]. - The gross profit per ton of yarn slightly decreased quarter-on-quarter, while electronic fabric sales showed strong performance, with a notable increase in sales volume [1]. - The company's operating cash flow was slightly under pressure, with net cash flow from operating activities at 694 million yuan, and capital expenditures decreased year-on-year to approximately 270 million yuan [1]. Development Trends - In Q4 2025, electronic fabric price increases are expected to enhance profitability, supported by limited production pressure and stable downstream demand [2]. - The company plans to launch a 100,000-ton electronic yarn production line in Huai'an, which could lead to over 30% capacity increase upon full production [2]. - The gross yarn industry is projected to have controlled net new capacity in 2026, with a focus on the overseas profitability contribution from leading companies [2]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company maintains its earnings per share (EPS) forecasts for 2025 and 2026 at 0.88 yuan and 1.01 yuan, respectively, with the current stock price corresponding to 18x and 16x P/E for those years [3]. - The target price has been raised by 22% to 18.2 yuan, implying a 15% upside potential based on expected valuation uplift from high-end electronic fabric products [3].