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中国建材(03323):2Q同环比扭亏,产品结构加速升级
HTSC· 2025-08-29 04:53
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price of HKD 6.15 [6][7]. Core Views - The company reported a turnaround in profitability in Q2 2025, achieving a revenue of CNY 466.4 billion, a year-on-year increase of 0.4%, and a net profit of CNY 18.8 billion, compared to a loss of CNY 6.7 billion in the same period last year [1][6]. - The company is expected to continue its high-quality growth, particularly in the basic building materials sector, amidst a competitive environment, while the special fiber cloth segment is anticipated to drive growth in the new materials sector [1][6]. Summary by Sections Basic Building Materials Division - In the first half of 2025, the revenue from the basic building materials division was CNY 372.0 billion, a decrease of 8.8% year-on-year, but the profit turned positive with a total profit of CNY 1.6 billion, reflecting a gross margin increase of 7.3 percentage points to 16.1% [2]. - The sales volume of cement and clinker was 97.78 million tons, down 14.1% year-on-year, which is significantly higher than the national average decline of 4.3% [2]. - The average price of cement and clinker was CNY 249.8 per ton, up 3.6% year-on-year, indicating a slight decrease compared to the average price of CNY 250.6 per ton in 2024 [2]. New Materials Division - The new materials division achieved a revenue of CNY 267.6 billion in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 13.6%, with a gross margin of 23.3%, down 0.4 percentage points [3]. - Sales volumes for fiberglass, wind turbine blades, lithium battery separators, and carbon fiber increased by 1.1%, 102.9%, 59.6%, and 51.2% respectively, while their average prices saw changes of +12.3%, -9.7%, -23.7%, and -16.6% [3]. Engineering Services Division - The engineering services division reported a revenue of CNY 213.1 billion in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 3.6%, but the overall gross margin decreased by 2.6 percentage points to 16.0% [4]. - The core subsidiary, China National Materials International, signed new orders worth CNY 41.2 billion, an increase of 11% year-on-year, with overseas orders growing by 19% [4]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company maintains a profit forecast of CNY 42 billion, CNY 51 billion, and CNY 61 billion for the years 2025 to 2027, respectively, with corresponding EPS of CNY 0.55, CNY 0.68, and CNY 0.80 [5]. - The target price has been raised by 28% to HKD 6.15, based on a P/E ratio of 10.2x for 2025, which is a 15% premium over the historical average [5].