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成材:市场变化有限,钢价低位运行
Hua Bao Qi Huo· 2025-06-23 04:04
Report Summary 1. Industry Investment Rating No industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoint The report suggests treating steel products with a strategy of short - selling on rebounds [3]. 3. Summary by Related Content - **Industry Event News**: The Australian Anti - Dumping Commission postponed the basic fact report of the anti - dumping investigation on Chinese hot - rolled steel coils to December 10, 2025, and the final arbitration report will be submitted to the minister by February 25, 2026. The consumer goods trade - in policy has no change, and the subsidy funds are being used as expected, with central funds to be issued in the third and fourth quarters [2]. - **Industry Data**: Last week, the blast furnace iron - making capacity utilization rate of 247 steel mills was 90.79%, a 0.21 - percentage - point increase from the previous week; the steel mill profitability rate was 59.31%, a 0.87 - percentage - point increase; the daily average hot - metal output was 242.18 million tons, a 0.57 - million - ton increase. The average capacity utilization rate of 90 independent electric arc furnace steel mills nationwide was 54.54%, a 2.19 - percentage - point decrease from the previous week and a 0.81 - percentage - point increase year - on - year [2]. - **Market Situation**: Last week, steel products showed little change, consolidating at the bottom. Although the price center shifted up slightly, it was still a narrow - range adjustment at a low level. The macro and fundamental aspects were relatively calm, and the weekly fundamentals continued the previous situation of strong supply and weak demand. As it has entered the off - season of demand, there is a possibility of further decline in future demand, and the probability of effective improvement in terminal demand is low. Without macro - policy promotion, the industry fundamentals are more likely to lead to prices falling rather than rising [2].