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国家发改委:终端需求跟进有限,供大于求拖累猪价回落
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-11-17 03:34
Core Insights - The national pig feed price ratio as of November 12 is 4.78, reflecting a week-on-week decline of 1.65% [1] - The projected average profit per pig in the current fattening model is estimated at -199.68 yuan based on current prices and costs [1] - The average price of live pigs has decreased week-on-week, indicating a surplus in supply due to accelerated sales from farms, while terminal demand remains limited [1] Industry Summary - The decline in pig feed price ratio suggests a challenging environment for pig farmers, with profitability under pressure [1] - The increase in pig supply is attributed to faster selling rates from farms, leading to a situation where supply exceeds demand, contributing to falling pig prices [1] - Reduced secondary fattening and replenishment further exacerbate the supply-demand imbalance in the market [1]
国家发改委:10月第3周屠宰企业宰量整体下滑,供大于求拖累猪价走低
Ge Long Hui· 2025-10-20 07:08
Core Insights - The national pig-to-grain price ratio for the third week of October is 5.22, reflecting a week-on-week decline of 4.40% [1] - The national pig feed price ratio stands at 4.56, with a week-on-week decrease of 5.00% [1] - Current projections indicate that the average profit per pig in the future fattening model will be -281.88 yuan based on current prices and costs [1] - The average price of live pigs continues to decline week-on-week, driven by high supply and weak downstream demand [1] - Slaughter enterprises are experiencing a decrease in slaughter volume, contributing to the oversupply situation that is pressuring pig prices downward [1]
国家发展改革委:9月第3周全国猪料比价环比下跌1.54% 预计下周养殖预期亏损继续增加
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-09-22 07:04
Core Insights - The national pig feed price ratio for the week of September 17, 2025, is reported at 5.12, reflecting a week-on-week decline of 1.54% [1] - The projected average profit per pig in the current fattening model is estimated to be -106.13 yuan, indicating a loss for pig farmers [1] Group 1: Price Trends - The average price of live pigs this week is 13.71 yuan per kilogram, showing a week-on-week decrease of 1.58% [3] - The feed price remains stable at 2.68 yuan per kilogram, with no change from the previous week [3] - The balance point for the pig feed price ratio is noted at 5.45, indicating the threshold for profitability [3] Group 2: Market Dynamics - Increased supply from farmers actively selling pigs has led to a surplus, contributing to the decline in average pig prices [3] - Downstream demand has not increased significantly, resulting in a supply-demand imbalance that pressures prices downward [3] - Expectations for the upcoming week suggest that while the pace of price decline may slow due to farmers' reluctance to sell at low prices, overall demand remains insufficient to support a price rebound [3]
国家发改委:9月第2周猪全国猪料比价为5.20 供大于求拖累猪价连续回落
智通财经网· 2025-09-22 07:04
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article indicates that the national pig feed price ratio has decreased by 1.33% to 5.20, leading to a projected loss of 77.18 yuan per pig in the current pig farming model [1][3] - The average price of live pigs has declined week-on-week, attributed to an increase in supply as farms resume their output, while demand from the market remains weak, resulting in a surplus that depresses prices [1] - It is expected that the high level of pig output will continue in the coming week, with insufficient market demand, which may lead to further declines in live pig prices and an increase in farming losses [1]