炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报，权威，专业，及时，全面，助您挖掘潜力主题机会！ 来源：证券市场周刊 文丨张桔 编辑丨谢长艳 春节前股市经历了一轮4000点之上的强势震荡，而假期中国外国内皆是重重利好萦绕，叠加神州大地处 处展现的硬科技元素，节后股市新一轮科技热浪悄然来袭。如是背景下，节后投资何处亮剑成为马年伊 始的热议话题。 而作为机构旗手的公募基金，其关注的方向成为焦点中的焦点，其中节前调研的公司能够部分传递他们 的最新思路。Wind资讯显示，从开年到春节前，恰好10家公募基金公司的调研总次数超过了100次，其 中排在前三位的分别是博时基金（176次）、华夏基金（142次）、易方达基金（134次）。换一个角度 看被调研标的，同期被基金公司调研前三位的公司分别是天顺风能、大金重工、海天瑞声。 尤其是明星基金经理的调研引发建仓遐想。上述统计时间段中，易方达基金的萧楠、睿远基金的赵枫、 汇添富基金的劳杰男、鹏华基金的闫思倩等都出现在了调研榜上，其中劳杰男和闫思倩所调研的均是海 天瑞声。 | 附表: 2026年年初到春节前 | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 公募调研情 ...

Group 1: LCD Market Insights - The demand for TV products is stimulated by national subsidies and export incentives, leading to an expected increase in annual shipment volume and area, despite fluctuations in demand throughout the year [1] - IT product shipments are anticipated to grow rapidly due to replacement demand, while MNT product shipments are expected to remain flat [1] - The average utilization rate in the LCD industry improved in Q3 but is projected to drop below 80% in Q4, leading to a slight price adjustment for TV products and stable pricing for IT products [2] Group 2: OLED Market Dynamics - The OLED market is experiencing an oversupply despite increased shipments in Q3 and Q4, with a notable rise in low-end Ramless product shipments and heightened competition in the domestic market [3] - The company plans to invest in an 8.6 generation AMOLED production line to enhance its competitiveness in high-end IT products, such as laptops and tablets [4] Group 3: Technology and Competitive Edge - The company has chosen the LTPO backplane technology for OLED, which has been validated in the sixth generation line, supporting high-end applications with comprehensive capabilities [5] - The penetration rate of OLED in high-end IT products remains below 10%, indicating limited market impact from capacity supply in the medium to long term [5] Group 4: MLED Business Development - The MLED business is a key component of the company's "1+4+N" ecosystem, focusing on Mini/Micro LED technology to drive rapid growth [6] Group 5: Financial Outlook and Capital Expenditure - Capital expenditures are expected to peak in 2025 due to significant investments in the 8.6 generation OLED production line, with a decline anticipated from 2027 onwards [8] - The company plans to allocate at least 35% of annual net profit to cash dividends and a minimum of RMB 1.5 billion for share repurchases each year from 2025 to 2027 [10] Group 6: Shareholder Engagement - The company is considering repurchasing minority shareholder equity as a key use of cash flow, particularly as capital expenditures decrease and cash flow improves [9] - A new shareholder return plan aims to establish a stable and predictable return mechanism, reflecting the company's commitment to sharing growth benefits with shareholders [12]

Group 1: Industry and Market Overview - In 2025, the total shipment volume and area of LCD products are expected to see slight year-on-year growth, driven by demand for small-sized TVs in emerging markets, while large-sized TV growth may slow temporarily [1][2] - IT product shipments, particularly for notebooks (NB) and tablet PCs (TPC), are projected to experience rapid growth due to replacement demand [2] - The average utilization rate in the industry is expected to rise in Q3 but fall below 80% in Q4, leading to a differentiated pricing outlook for LCD products [2] Group 2: Product Performance and Trends - For the first three quarters of 2025, the revenue structure of display devices is as follows: TV products (28%), IT products (37%), LCD mobile and other products (12%), and OLED products (23%) [5] - The global shipment volume of OLED products is anticipated to grow in 2025, although the overall market remains oversupplied [3][4] Group 3: Future Outlook and Capital Expenditure - The capital expenditure is expected to decline after peaking in 2025 due to significant investments in the Chengdu 8.6 generation OLED production line, with further spending focused on maintenance and innovative projects from 2027 onwards [6] - The company plans to utilize cash flow for minority shareholder equity buybacks, particularly in the context of improving cash flow and decreasing capital expenditures [7]