文｜半导体产业纵横 市场调研机构Omdia最新报告显示，2024年中国企业已掌控全球65%的偏光片产能，预计到2027年这一 比例将突破80%。而更引人注目的是，2025年中国显示面板产量将首次占据全球70%的市场份额。 01、中国面板的全球新坐标 全球显示产业正在经历一场历史性转折。当时间进入2025年，中国在全球显示面板生产地图上标注了一 个醒目的坐标：70%。这意味着全球每生产10块显示面板，就有7块来自中国工厂。 这一主导地位在智能手机领域尤为突出。TrendForce集邦咨询数据显示，2024年中国大陆系面板厂在手 机面板市场的占有率达到68.8%，2025年有望突破70%大关。京东方稳居全球智能手机面板出货量首 位，2025年预计出货量将达到6.10亿片。 排名第四的华星光电自2022年起加强了与小米的合作关系。该公司的出货量预计到2025年将小幅增加至 1.92亿台。排名第五的天马预计将保持稳定的出货量，在2024年达到1.88亿台，并在2025年保持稳定， 因为LTPS LCD需求的下降被AMOLED需求的增加所抵消。 在液晶电视面板领域，中国企业的优势同样明显。2025年第一季度全球大尺寸液 ...

[Table_StockNameRptType] TCL 科技（000100） 公司点评 [公司价格与沪深 Table_Chart] 300 走势比较 -36% -21% -5% 11% 26% 5/24 8/24 11/24 2/25 TCL科技 沪深300 [Table_Author] 分析师：陈耀波 执业证书号：S0010523060001 邮箱：chenyaobo@hazq.com 分析师：刘志来 执业证书号：S0010523120005 邮箱：liuzhilai@hazq.com [Table_CompanyReport] 相关报告 面板盈利持续改善，期待光伏业务回暖 | 投资评级：买入（维持） [Table_Rank] | | | --- | --- | | 报告日期： 2025-05-01 | | | [Table_BaseData] 收盘价（元） | 4.15 | | 近 12 个月最高/最低（元） | 5.83/3.56 | | 总股本（百万股） | 18,779 | | 流通股本（百万股） | 18,100 | | 流通股比例（%） | 96.38 | | 总市值（亿元） | 779 | ...

[公司价格与沪深 Table_Chart] 300 走势比较 -36% -21% -5% 11% 26% 5/24 8/24 11/24 2/25 TCL科技 沪深300 [Table_Author] 分析师：陈耀波 执业证书号：S0010523060001 邮箱：chenyaobo@hazq.com 分析师：刘志来 [Table_StockNameRptType] TCL 科技（000100） 公司点评 面板盈利持续改善，期待光伏业务回暖 | 投资评级：买入（维持） [Table_Rank] | | | --- | --- | | 报告日期： 2025-05-01 | | | [Table_BaseData] 收盘价（元） | 4.15 | | 近 12 个月最高/最低（元） | 5.83/3.56 | | 总股本（百万股） | 18,779 | | 流通股本（百万股） | 18,100 | | 流通股比例（%） | 96.38 | | 总市值（亿元） | 779 | | 流通市值（亿元） | 751 | 执业证书号：S0010523120005 邮箱：liuzhilai@hazq.com [Table_C ...

Group 1: Financial Performance - In 2024, TCL achieved a revenue of 164.8 billion yuan, with a net profit of 1.56 billion yuan, and a net operating cash flow of 29.5 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 16.6% [1] - In Q1 2025, TCL reported a revenue of 40.1 billion yuan, a 0.4% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 1.01 billion yuan, showing a significant growth of 322% [4] - The operating cash flow for Q1 2025 reached 12.1 billion yuan, up 83% year-on-year [4] Group 2: Semiconductor Display Business - In 2024, the semiconductor display segment generated 104.3 billion yuan in revenue, a 25% increase, with a net profit of 6.23 billion yuan, improving by 62.4% [2] - In Q1 2025, the semiconductor display business achieved 27.5 billion yuan in revenue, an 18% increase, and a net profit of 2.33 billion yuan, reflecting a 329% growth [4] - The average size of televisions increased by approximately 1.5 inches in Q1 2025, driving demand for larger panels [4][6] Group 3: New Energy and Semiconductor Materials - In 2024, the global photovoltaic installation maintained growth, but prices continued to decline, leading to losses across the industry [2] - TCL Zhonghuan reported a revenue of 28.4 billion yuan, a 52% decrease, with a net profit of -9.82 billion yuan [3] - In Q1 2025, TCL Zhonghuan's revenue was 6.1 billion yuan, with a net profit of -1.906 billion yuan, showing a 49% improvement compared to the previous quarter [4] Group 4: Market Trends and Outlook - The display industry is expected to see a stable supply-demand relationship, with the global LCD production capacity in mainland China projected to reach 88% by 2025 [6] - The demand for large-size panels is driven by both terminal sales and average size increases, with significant growth potential in the global market [6] - The "trade-in" policy is expected to boost demand across various product categories, including televisions, enhancing the trend towards larger screens [8] Group 5: OLED Business Development - TCL is focusing on high-end and differentiated strategies in the OLED market, with significant improvements in market share for flexible OLED panels [10] - The T4 production line is expected to maintain high operational efficiency, contributing to the overall improvement of the OLED business [10] Group 6: Depreciation Trends - Most of the 8th generation production lines have completed depreciation, but a slight increase in depreciation is expected in 2025 due to new capacity coming online [11] - The depreciation-to-revenue ratio is anticipated to decrease as new high-value production lines drive rapid revenue growth [11]