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基础化工行业点评:棕榈油期货价格再创年内新高,看好全球油脂市场
Minsheng Securities· 2025-08-15 08:57
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for companies involved in palm oil and biodiesel sectors, highlighting potential price increases in these markets [4]. Core Insights - Palm oil futures prices have reached a new high for the year, with a closing price of 9,490 CNY/ton on August 13, 2025, marking a 13.06% increase since July 1, 2025 [1]. - Indonesia's plan to implement a B50 blending mandate for biodiesel is expected to significantly boost palm oil demand, potentially increasing annual consumption by up to 19 million kiloliters [2]. - The U.S. is projected to increase biodiesel blending by 67% in 2026, which may create a ripple effect in the global oilseed market, influencing prices across various vegetable oils [3]. Summary by Sections Palm Oil Market - The DCE palm oil futures price has surpassed 9,400 CNY/ton, indicating strong market performance [1]. - Indonesia's B50 plan could lead to a substantial increase in domestic palm oil consumption, reflecting government commitment to enhancing local usage [2]. Biodiesel Sector - The U.S. EPA's proposed rule for 2026 aims to raise biodiesel blending to 5.61 billion gallons, a 67% increase from the current year, which is expected to impact the overall vegetable oil market positively [3]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies like Zanyu Technology, which benefits from stable raw material prices in Indonesia, and other players in the biodiesel supply chain such as Shanggou Environmental Energy and Jiaao Environmental Protection [4][5].